Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Montréal Canadiens 3@Ottawa Senators 2
2026-03-11MTL · OTT
CF%?
43.0%·57.0%
xGF%?
49.3%·50.7%
HDCF%?
46.4%·53.6%
5v5 xGF%?
44.8%·55.2%
5v5 CF%?
46.3%·53.7%
?
OTT wins ↑MTL wins ↓
MTL 42%Deserved to win?58% OTT
the game's chances, replayed · 2.63 xG vs 3.08 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
MTL 3@OTT 2
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-03-11 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickDrake BathersonOTT · 2G · 0.38 ixG · 1 blk88
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickJacob FowlerMTL · 1 pen drawn · 32 sv · 2 GA82
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickIvan DemidovMTL · 1G · 1A · 0.40 ixG77MTL
1Ivan Demidov772
Juraj Slafkovský673
Kaiden Guhle674
Alexandre Texier665
Jake Evans656
Alex Newhook617
Lane Hutson598
Zachary Bolduc589
Nick Suzuki5710
Kirby Dach5611
Phillip Danault5512
Noah Dobson5113
Josh Anderson5114
Oliver Kapanen5015
Brendan Gallagher4616
Mike Matheson45
Ivan Demidov772Juraj Slafkovský673Kaiden Guhle674Alexandre Texier665Jake Evans656Alex Newhook617Lane Hutson598Zachary Bolduc589Nick Suzuki5710Kirby Dach5611Phillip Danault5512Noah Dobson5113Josh Anderson5114Oliver Kapanen5015Brendan Gallagher4616Mike Matheson45Goalies
OTT
1Drake Batherson882
Tim Stützle753
Brady Tkachuk694
Claude Giroux695
Dylan Cozens656
Michael Amadio597
Tyler Kleven588
Fabian Zetterlund579
Ridly Greig5610
Alexandre Carrier5511
Nikolas Matinpalo5412
Jordan Spence5413
Lars Eller5414
Nick Cousins5315
Thomas Chabot5316
Warren Foegele5117
Artem Zub5018
Shane Pinto4919
Nick Jensen48
Drake Batherson882Tim Stützle753Brady Tkachuk694Claude Giroux695Dylan Cozens656Michael Amadio597Tyler Kleven588Fabian Zetterlund579Ridly Greig5610Alexandre Carrier5511Nikolas Matinpalo5412Jordan Spence5413Lars Eller5414Nick Cousins5315Thomas Chabot5316Warren Foegele5117Artem Zub5018Shane Pinto4919Nick Jensen48Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 1 (9) | 1 (9) | 1 (5) | 3 |
| OTT | 2 (11) | 0 (10) | 0 (13) | 2 |
| MTL | OTT | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/3 | Power play | 1/4 |
| 31 | Hits | 33 |
| 11 | Blocked shots | 25 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 6 |
| 24 | Giveaways | 9 |
| 26 | Faceoff wins | 27 |
| MTL | OTT | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 2 |
| 4.87 | Expected goals | 5.01 |
| 2.80 | 5v5 xG | 3.44 |
| 0.20 | Power-play xG | 1.40 |
| 52 | Shot attempts | 69 |
| 23 | On goal | 34 |
| 13 | High-danger | 15 |
| 4 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 18 | Missed | 10 |
| 11 | Blocked | 25 |
| 0.094 | xG per attempt | 0.073 |
| 36 ft | Avg shot distance | 29 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG85 of 121 attempts shown