Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Edmonton Oilers 4@Colorado Avalanche 3
2026-03-10EDM · COL
CF%?
39.3%·60.7%
xGF%?
41.2%·58.8%
HDCF%?
32.5%·67.5%
5v5 xGF%?
43.1%·56.9%
5v5 CF%?
38.0%·62.0%
?
COL wins ↑EDM wins ↓
EDM 47%Deserved to win?53% COL
the game's chances, replayed · 3.01 xG vs 3.16 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
EDM 4@COL 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-03-10 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickConnor McDavidEDM · 1G · 1A · 0.91 ixG80
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickRyan Nugent-HopkinsEDM · 2G · 0.46 ixG · 1 tk80
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickLeon DraisaitlEDM · 2A · 0.48 ixG · 4 gv74EDM
1Connor McDavid802Ryan Nugent-Hopkins803Leon Draisaitl744
Jack Roslovic725
Evan Bouchard706
Darnell Nurse657
Vasily Podkolzin598
Zach Hyman579
Jason Dickinson5510
Trent Frederic5211
Ty Emberson5212
Mattias Ekholm5213
Matt Savoie5114
Josh Samanski5015
Colton Dach4716
Kasperi Kapanen4717
Connor Murphy44
Connor McDavid802Ryan Nugent-Hopkins803Leon Draisaitl744Jack Roslovic725Evan Bouchard706Darnell Nurse657Vasily Podkolzin598Zach Hyman579Jason Dickinson5510Trent Frederic5211Ty Emberson5212Mattias Ekholm5213Matt Savoie5114Josh Samanski5015Colton Dach4716Kasperi Kapanen4717Connor Murphy44Goalies
COL
1
Sam Malinski702
Brock Nelson683
Ross Colton644
Valeri Nichushkin615
Zakhar Bardakov606
Martin Necas587
Jack Drury588
Josh Manson579
Joel Kiviranta5610
Parker Kelly5611
Nazem Kadri5512
Jake Walman5513
Nicolas Roy5414
Devon Toews5415
Nathan MacKinnon5216
Gavin Brindley5117
Cale Makar5118
Brent Burns4919
Brett Kulak45
Sam Malinski702Brock Nelson683Ross Colton644Valeri Nichushkin615Zakhar Bardakov606Martin Necas587Jack Drury588Josh Manson579Joel Kiviranta5610Parker Kelly5611Nazem Kadri5512Jake Walman5513Nicolas Roy5414Devon Toews5415Nathan MacKinnon5216Gavin Brindley5117Cale Makar5118Brent Burns4919Brett Kulak45Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | 2 (7) | 1 (10) | 1 (7) | 4 |
| COL | 2 (12) | 0 (8) | 1 (10) | 3 |
| EDM | COL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2/6 | Power play | 1/4 |
| 22 | Hits | 11 |
| 9 | Blocked shots | 26 |
| 6 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 21 | Giveaways | 15 |
| 26 | Faceoff wins | 26 |
| EDM | COL | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 3 |
| 4.21 | Expected goals | 6.00 |
| 2.48 | 5v5 xG | 3.28 |
| 1.17 | Power-play xG | 2.11 |
| 46 | Shot attempts | 71 |
| 24 | On goal | 30 |
| 13 | High-danger | 27 |
| 1 | Rebound chances | 4 |
| 13 | Missed | 15 |
| 9 | Blocked | 26 |
| 0.091 | xG per attempt | 0.084 |
| 29 ft | Avg shot distance | 28 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG82 of 117 attempts shown