Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
San Jose Sharks 3@Buffalo Sabres 6
2026-03-10SJS · BUF
CF%?
49.1%·50.9%
xGF%?
44.6%·55.4%
HDCF%?
54.5%·45.5%
5v5 xGF%?
44.7%·55.3%
5v5 CF%?
45.8%·54.2%
?
BUF wins ↑SJS wins ↓
SJS 43%Deserved to win?57% BUF
the game's chances, replayed · 2.40 xG vs 2.75 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
SJS 3@BUF 6
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-03-10 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickJack QuinnBUF · 3G · 1A · 0.90 ixG99
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickRasmus DahlinBUF · 3A · 0.07 ixG · 1 tk79
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickRyan McLeodBUF · 3A · 0.12 ixG · 4 gv75SJS
1
Alexander Wennberg742
Tyler Toffoli703
Macklin Celebrini694
Mario Ferraro645
Kiefer Sherwood646
William Eklund617
Vincent Desharnais598
Will Smith559
Michael Misa5310
Adam Gaudette5311
Collin Graf5112
Zack Ostapchuk5113
Shakir Mukhamadullin5114
Sam Dickinson5115
Philipp Kurashev5016
John Klingberg4917
Barclay Goodrow4918
Dmitry Orlov49
Alexander Wennberg742Tyler Toffoli703Macklin Celebrini694Mario Ferraro645Kiefer Sherwood646William Eklund617Vincent Desharnais598Will Smith559Michael Misa5310Adam Gaudette5311Collin Graf5112Zack Ostapchuk5113Shakir Mukhamadullin5114Sam Dickinson5115Philipp Kurashev5016John Klingberg4917Barclay Goodrow4918Dmitry Orlov49Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 1 (5) | 1 (8) | 1 (7) | 3 |
| BUF | 2 (8) | 2 (12) | 2 (6) | 6 |
| SJS | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/6 | Power play | 0/4 |
| 23 | Hits | 21 |
| 16 | Blocked shots | 16 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 7 |
| 17 | Giveaways | 14 |
| 27 | Faceoff wins | 28 |
| SJS | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 6 |
| 4.00 | Expected goals | 4.97 |
| 2.88 | 5v5 xG | 3.57 |
| 1.12 | Power-play xG | 0.27 |
| 53 | Shot attempts | 55 |
| 20 | On goal | 26 |
| 18 | High-danger | 15 |
| 0 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 17 | Missed | 13 |
| 16 | Blocked | 16 |
| 0.075 | xG per attempt | 0.090 |
| 33 ft | Avg shot distance | 29 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG76 of 108 attempts shown