Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Tampa Bay Lightning 7@Buffalo Sabres 8
2026-03-08TBL · BUF
CF%?
50.8%·49.2%
xGF%?
52.6%·47.4%
HDCF%?
53.8%·46.2%
5v5 xGF%?
58.9%·41.1%
5v5 CF%?
52.3%·47.7%
?
BUF wins ↑TBL wins ↓
TBL 52%Deserved to win?48% BUF
the game's chances, replayed · 3.81 xG vs 3.69 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
TBL 7@BUF 8
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-03-08 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickTage ThompsonBUF · 4A · 0.17 ixG · 2 blk99
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickNikita KucherovTBL · 2G · 1A · 0.41 ixG94
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickJason ZuckerBUF · 2G · 1A · 0.74 ixG91TBL
1Nikita Kucherov942
J.J. Moser833
Darren Raddysh814
Brandon Hagel755
Brayden Point726
Conor Geekie717
Zemgus Girgensons688
Anthony Cirelli659
Corey Perry6110
Yanni Gourde5911
Oliver Bjorkstrand5912
Charle-Edouard D'Astous5813
Victor Hedman5614
Pontus Holmberg5415
Ryan McDonagh5216
Scott Sabourin5217
Jake Guentzel5118
Zach Metsa49
Nikita Kucherov942J.J. Moser833Darren Raddysh814Brandon Hagel755Brayden Point726Conor Geekie717Zemgus Girgensons688Anthony Cirelli659Corey Perry6110Yanni Gourde5911Oliver Bjorkstrand5912Charle-Edouard D'Astous5813Victor Hedman5614Pontus Holmberg5415Ryan McDonagh5216Scott Sabourin5217Jake Guentzel5118Zach Metsa49Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 0 (6) | 4 (10) | 3 (13) | 7 |
| BUF | 1 (10) | 3 (15) | 4 (17) | 8 |
| TBL | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/10 | Power play | 4/16 |
| 40 | Hits | 27 |
| 18 | Blocked shots | 8 |
| 2 | Takeaways | 5 |
| 11 | Giveaways | 17 |
| 32 | Faceoff wins | 32 |
| TBL | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Goals | 8 |
| 5.64 | Expected goals | 5.07 |
| 4.07 | 5v5 xG | 2.83 |
| 1.01 | Power-play xG | 1.50 |
| 63 | Shot attempts | 61 |
| 29 | On goal | 42 |
| 21 | High-danger | 18 |
| 2 | Rebound chances | 5 |
| 16 | Missed | 11 |
| 18 | Blocked | 8 |
| 0.089 | xG per attempt | 0.083 |
| 30 ft | Avg shot distance | 30 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG98 of 124 attempts shown