Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Carolina Hurricanes 4@Calgary Flames 5
2026-03-07CAR · CGY
CF%?
55.9%·44.1%
xGF%?
54.2%·45.8%
HDCF%?
60.6%·39.4%
5v5 xGF%?
51.0%·49.0%
5v5 CF%?
54.0%·46.0%
?
CGY wins ↑CAR wins ↓
CAR 64%Deserved to win?36% CGY
the game's chances, replayed · 3.05 xG vs 2.33 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
CAR 4@CGY 5
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-03-07 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickMorgan FrostCGY · 1G · 2A · 0.43 ixG96
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickJoel FarabeeCGY · 2G · 1A · 0.51 ixG95
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickSeth JarvisCAR · 1G · 2A · 0.37 ixG85CAR
1Seth Jarvis852
Sebastian Aho793
Andrei Svechnikov734
Alexander Nikishin685
Taylor Hall626
Sean Walker617
K'Andre Miller618
William Carrier599
Mark Jankowski5910
Jordan Staal5711
Jalen Chatfield5512
Jordan Martinook5513
Jaccob Slavin5214
Logan Stankoven5215
Eric Robinson5116
Nikolaj Ehlers5117
Mike Reilly5018
Jackson Blake47
Seth Jarvis852Sebastian Aho793Andrei Svechnikov734Alexander Nikishin685Taylor Hall626Sean Walker617K'Andre Miller618William Carrier599Mark Jankowski5910Jordan Staal5711Jalen Chatfield5512Jordan Martinook5513Jaccob Slavin5214Logan Stankoven5215Eric Robinson5116Nikolaj Ehlers5117Mike Reilly5018Jackson Blake47Goalies
CGY
1Morgan Frost962Joel Farabee953
Blake Coleman754
Olli Maatta715
Ryan Strome706
Martin Pospisil657
Yan Kuznetsov598
Zayne Parekh579
Mikael Backlund5510
Ryan Lomberg5311
Connor Zary5212
Adam Klapka5113
Kevin Bahl5114
Yegor Sharangovich5115
Matt Coronato5016
Zach Whitecloud5017
John Beecher4818
Brayden Pachal47
Morgan Frost962Joel Farabee953Blake Coleman754Olli Maatta715Ryan Strome706Martin Pospisil657Yan Kuznetsov598Zayne Parekh579Mikael Backlund5510Ryan Lomberg5311Connor Zary5212Adam Klapka5113Kevin Bahl5114Yegor Sharangovich5115Matt Coronato5016Zach Whitecloud5017John Beecher4818Brayden Pachal47Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | 1 (9) | 0 (7) | 3 (13) | 4 |
| CGY | 0 (6) | 3 (13) | 2 (6) | 5 |
| CAR | CGY | |
|---|---|---|
| 2/3 | Power play | 1/4 |
| 20 | Hits | 26 |
| 10 | Blocked shots | 12 |
| 7 | Takeaways | 6 |
| 22 | Giveaways | 13 |
| 32 | Faceoff wins | 29 |
| CAR | CGY | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 5 |
| 4.00 | Expected goals | 3.38 |
| 3.06 | 5v5 xG | 2.94 |
| 0.70 | Power-play xG | 0.43 |
| 57 | Shot attempts | 45 |
| 29 | On goal | 25 |
| 20 | High-danger | 13 |
| 4 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 18 | Missed | 8 |
| 10 | Blocked | 12 |
| 0.070 | xG per attempt | 0.075 |
| 32 ft | Avg shot distance | 30 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG80 of 102 attempts shown