Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Tampa Bay Lightning 1@Winnipeg Jets 4
2026-03-05TBL · WPG
CF%?
48.4%·51.6%
xGF%?
47.6%·52.4%
HDCF%?
61.0%·39.0%
5v5 xGF%?
46.7%·53.3%
5v5 CF%?
46.5%·53.5%
?
WPG wins ↑TBL wins ↓
TBL 49%Deserved to win?51% WPG
the game's chances, replayed · 3.14 xG vs 3.17 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
TBL 1@WPG 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-03-05 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickMark ScheifeleWPG · 1G · 1A · 0.72 ixG87
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickConnor HellebuyckWPG · 1 pen taken · 26 sv · 1 GA85
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickKyle ConnorWPG · 1G · 1A · 1.01 ixG81TBL
1
Jake Guentzel692
Brayden Point663
Pontus Holmberg594
Oliver Bjorkstrand575
Declan Carlile566
Anthony Cirelli567
Zemgus Girgensons558
Victor Hedman549
Scott Sabourin5410
J.J. Moser5411
Erik Cernak5312
Brandon Hagel5213
Darren Raddysh5114
Conor Geekie5015
Yanni Gourde5016
Charle-Edouard D'Astous5017
Nikita Kucherov43
Jake Guentzel692Brayden Point663Pontus Holmberg594Oliver Bjorkstrand575Declan Carlile566Anthony Cirelli567Zemgus Girgensons558Victor Hedman549Scott Sabourin5410J.J. Moser5411Erik Cernak5312Brandon Hagel5213Darren Raddysh5114Conor Geekie5015Yanni Gourde5016Charle-Edouard D'Astous5017Nikita Kucherov43Goalies
WPG
1Mark Scheifele872Kyle Connor813
Alex Iafallo814
Tanner Pearson735
Cole Koepke676
Gustav Nyquist637
Morgan Barron638
Jonathan Toews609
Dylan DeMelo5810
Walker Duehr5711
Adam Lowry5612
Gabriel Vilardi5613
Haydn Fleury5514
Ville Heinola5315
Elias Salomonsson5216
Isaak Phillips5117
Dylan Samberg5018
Cole Perfetti5019
Ryan McDonagh48
Mark Scheifele872Kyle Connor813Alex Iafallo814Tanner Pearson735Cole Koepke676Gustav Nyquist637Morgan Barron638Jonathan Toews609Dylan DeMelo5810Walker Duehr5711Adam Lowry5612Gabriel Vilardi5613Haydn Fleury5514Ville Heinola5315Elias Salomonsson5216Isaak Phillips5117Dylan Samberg5018Cole Perfetti5019Ryan McDonagh48Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 0 (5) | 0 (7) | 1 (15) | 1 |
| WPG | 0 (8) | 2 (14) | 2 (8) | 4 |
| TBL | WPG | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/2 | Power play | 0/2 |
| 23 | Hits | 26 |
| 16 | Blocked shots | 19 |
| 1 | Takeaways | 8 |
| 17 | Giveaways | 17 |
| 27 | Faceoff wins | 34 |
| TBL | WPG | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 4 |
| 4.74 | Expected goals | 5.21 |
| 3.14 | 5v5 xG | 3.59 |
| 1.52 | Power-play xG | 0.89 |
| 59 | Shot attempts | 63 |
| 27 | On goal | 30 |
| 25 | High-danger | 16 |
| 5 | Rebound chances | 4 |
| 16 | Missed | 14 |
| 16 | Blocked | 19 |
| 0.080 | xG per attempt | 0.083 |
| 28 ft | Avg shot distance | 30 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG87 of 122 attempts shown