Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Toronto Maple Leafs 3@New Jersey Devils 4
2026-03-04TOR · NJD
CF%?
38.3%·61.7%
xGF%?
35.7%·64.3%
HDCF%?
37.2%·62.8%
5v5 xGF%?
36.9%·63.1%
5v5 CF%?
39.8%·60.2%
?
NJD wins ↑TOR wins ↓
TOR 20%Deserved to win?80% NJD
the game's chances, replayed · 2.76 xG vs 4.89 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
TOR 3@NJD 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-03-04 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickAnthony StolarzTOR · 1 gv · 44 sv · 3 GA93
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickNico HischierNJD · 2A · 0.72 ixG · 1 hits86
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickTimo MeierNJD · 1G · 0.71 ixG · 2 blk83TOR
1
Auston Matthews732
Dakota Joshua673
John Tavares664
Matias Maccelli645
William Nylander646
Matthew Knies637
Nicholas Robertson588
Troy Stecher579
Simon Benoit5610
Morgan Rielly5411
Calle Jarnkrok5312
Easton Cowan5113
Steven Lorentz5014
Philippe Myers4915
Brandon Carlo4816
Nicolas Roy4817
Jake McCabe4518
Max Domi45
Auston Matthews732Dakota Joshua673John Tavares664Matias Maccelli645William Nylander646Matthew Knies637Nicholas Robertson588Troy Stecher579Simon Benoit5610Morgan Rielly5411Calle Jarnkrok5312Easton Cowan5113Steven Lorentz5014Philippe Myers4915Brandon Carlo4816Nicolas Roy4817Jake McCabe4518Max Domi45Goalies
NJD
1Nico Hischier862Timo Meier833
Arseny Gritsyuk754
Jesper Bratt705
Dawson Mercer696
Connor Brown697
Luke Hughes618
Cody Glass609
Dougie Hamilton6010
Lenni Hameenaho5811
Jonas Siegenthaler5612
Simon Nemec5513
Jack Hughes5414
Brenden Dillon5315
Paul Cotter5116
Maxim Tsyplakov4917
Nick Bjugstad4818
Johnathan Kovacevic47
Nico Hischier862Timo Meier833Arseny Gritsyuk754Jesper Bratt705Dawson Mercer696Connor Brown697Luke Hughes618Cody Glass609Dougie Hamilton6010Lenni Hameenaho5811Jonas Siegenthaler5612Simon Nemec5513Jack Hughes5414Brenden Dillon5315Paul Cotter5116Maxim Tsyplakov4917Nick Bjugstad4818Johnathan Kovacevic47Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
2OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 1 (11) | 1 (9) | 1 (5) | 0 (2) | 3 |
| NJD | 1 (14) | 1 (16) | 1 (14) | 0 (3) | 4 |
| TOR | NJD | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/3 | Power play | 0/3 |
| 16 | Hits | 10 |
| 11 | Blocked shots | 14 |
| 6 | Takeaways | 7 |
| 16 | Giveaways | 18 |
| 26 | Faceoff wins | 24 |
| TOR | NJD | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 3 |
| 3.73 | Expected goals | 6.73 |
| 2.38 | 5v5 xG | 4.07 |
| 1.03 | Power-play xG | 1.52 |
| 51 | Shot attempts | 82 |
| 27 | On goal | 47 |
| 16 | High-danger | 27 |
| 3 | Rebound chances | 7 |
| 13 | Missed | 21 |
| 11 | Blocked | 14 |
| 0.073 | xG per attempt | 0.082 |
| 29 ft | Avg shot distance | 29 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG108 of 133 attempts shown