Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Tampa Bay Lightning 1@Minnesota Wild 5
2026-03-03TBL · MIN
CF%?
51.5%·48.5%
xGF%?
40.3%·59.7%
HDCF%?
42.9%·57.1%
5v5 xGF%?
47.2%·52.8%
5v5 CF%?
53.2%·46.8%
?
MIN wins ↑TBL wins ↓
TBL 50%Deserved to win?50% MIN
the game's chances, replayed · 2.35 xG vs 2.33 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
TBL 1@MIN 5
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-03-03 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickQuinn HughesMIN · 1G · 1A · 0.29 ixG81
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickMatt BoldyMIN · 3A · 0.23 ixG · 1 blk79
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickMats ZuccarelloMIN · 1G · 1A · 0.22 ixG79TBL
1
Jake Guentzel682
Nikita Kucherov673
Brayden Point644
Ryan McDonagh615
Charle-Edouard D'Astous586
Darren Raddysh577
Conor Geekie578
Zemgus Girgensons549
Anthony Cirelli5310
Oliver Bjorkstrand5311
J.J. Moser5212
Brandon Hagel5113
Yanni Gourde5014
Erik Cernak5015
Victor Hedman5016
Scott Sabourin5017
Emil Lilleberg4918
Pontus Holmberg47
Jake Guentzel682Nikita Kucherov673Brayden Point644Ryan McDonagh615Charle-Edouard D'Astous586Darren Raddysh577Conor Geekie578Zemgus Girgensons549Anthony Cirelli5310Oliver Bjorkstrand5311J.J. Moser5212Brandon Hagel5113Yanni Gourde5014Erik Cernak5015Victor Hedman5016Scott Sabourin5017Emil Lilleberg4918Pontus Holmberg47Goalies
MIN
1Quinn Hughes812Matt Boldy793Mats Zuccarello794
Brock Faber755
Kirill Kaprizov706
Marcus Johansson697
Yakov Trenin688
Ryan Hartman619
Jake Middleton5810
Joel Eriksson Ek5611
Robby Fabbri5512
Danila Yurov5413
Nico Sturm5414
Jared Spurgeon5315
Vladimir Tarasenko4916
Vinnie Hinostroza4817
Jonas Brodin4818
Zach Bogosian44
Quinn Hughes812Matt Boldy793Mats Zuccarello794Brock Faber755Kirill Kaprizov706Marcus Johansson697Yakov Trenin688Ryan Hartman619Jake Middleton5810Joel Eriksson Ek5611Robby Fabbri5512Danila Yurov5413Nico Sturm5414Jared Spurgeon5315Vladimir Tarasenko4916Vinnie Hinostroza4817Jonas Brodin4818Zach Bogosian44Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 0 (12) | 1 (6) | 0 (7) | 1 |
| MIN | 1 (5) | 2 (7) | 2 (10) | 5 |
| TBL | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/4 | Power play | 1/5 |
| 25 | Hits | 22 |
| 16 | Blocked shots | 14 |
| 3 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 9 | Giveaways | 11 |
| 25 | Faceoff wins | 27 |
| TBL | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 5 |
| 3.51 | Expected goals | 5.20 |
| 2.63 | 5v5 xG | 2.95 |
| 0.88 | Power-play xG | 1.01 |
| 53 | Shot attempts | 50 |
| 25 | On goal | 22 |
| 12 | High-danger | 16 |
| 1 | Rebound chances | 0 |
| 12 | Missed | 14 |
| 16 | Blocked | 14 |
| 0.066 | xG per attempt | 0.104 |
| 35 ft | Avg shot distance | 29 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG73 of 103 attempts shown