Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Ottawa Senators 4@Edmonton Oilers 5
2026-03-03OTT · EDM
CF%?
41.4%·58.6%
xGF%?
41.9%·58.1%
HDCF%?
43.8%·56.3%
5v5 xGF%?
46.2%·53.8%
5v5 CF%?
42.1%·57.9%
?
EDM wins ↑OTT wins ↓
OTT 20%Deserved to win?80% EDM
the game's chances, replayed · 2.19 xG vs 4.01 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
OTT 4@EDM 5
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-03-03 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickLeon DraisaitlEDM · 2G · 3A · 0.58 ixG99
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickDrake BathersonOTT · 2G · 0.26 ixG · 1 blk77
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickTim StützleOTT · 2A · 0.37 ixG · 1 tk75OTT
1Drake Batherson772Tim Stützle753
Michael Amadio664
Dylan Cozens635
Nick Jensen616
Nick Cousins597
Ridly Greig568
Lars Eller569
Stephen Halliday5510
Fabian Zetterlund5511
Thomas Chabot5312
Claude Giroux5213
Brady Tkachuk5114
Jake Sanderson5115
Shane Pinto5116
Jordan Spence5017
Tyler Kleven4918
Artem Zub49
Drake Batherson772Tim Stützle753Michael Amadio664Dylan Cozens635Nick Jensen616Nick Cousins597Ridly Greig568Lars Eller569Stephen Halliday5510Fabian Zetterlund5511Thomas Chabot5312Claude Giroux5213Brady Tkachuk5114Jake Sanderson5115Shane Pinto5116Jordan Spence5017Tyler Kleven4918Artem Zub49Goalies
EDM
1Leon Draisaitl992
Zach Hyman753
Evan Bouchard734
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins715
Connor McDavid706
Mattias Ekholm657
Matt Savoie648
Jack Roslovic589
Darnell Nurse5610
Josh Samanski5411
Spencer Stastney5412
Vasily Podkolzin5413
Ty Emberson5314
Kasperi Kapanen5215
Curtis Lazar5116
Adam Henrique5017
Jake Walman4818
Trent Frederic47
Leon Draisaitl992Zach Hyman753Evan Bouchard734Ryan Nugent-Hopkins715Connor McDavid706Mattias Ekholm657Matt Savoie648Jack Roslovic589Darnell Nurse5610Josh Samanski5411Spencer Stastney5412Vasily Podkolzin5413Ty Emberson5314Kasperi Kapanen5215Curtis Lazar5116Adam Henrique5017Jake Walman4818Trent Frederic47Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTT | 2 (8) | 2 (10) | 0 (3) | 0 (0) | 4 |
| EDM | 2 (10) | 0 (15) | 2 (9) | 1 (3) | 5 |
| OTT | EDM | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/4 | Power play | 3/4 |
| 14 | Hits | 24 |
| 14 | Blocked shots | 10 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 3 |
| 15 | Giveaways | 21 |
| 13 | Faceoff wins | 28 |
| OTT | EDM | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 5 |
| 3.47 | Expected goals | 4.82 |
| 2.98 | 5v5 xG | 3.48 |
| 0.40 | Power-play xG | 1.25 |
| 48 | Shot attempts | 68 |
| 21 | On goal | 37 |
| 14 | High-danger | 18 |
| 3 | Rebound chances | 1 |
| 13 | Missed | 21 |
| 14 | Blocked | 10 |
| 0.072 | xG per attempt | 0.071 |
| 32 ft | Avg shot distance | 29 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG92 of 116 attempts shown