Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Philadelphia Flyers 3@Toronto Maple Leafs 2
2026-03-02PHI · TOR
CF%?
47.7%·52.3%
xGF%?
52.9%·47.1%
HDCF%?
62.5%·37.5%
5v5 xGF%?
48.9%·51.1%
5v5 CF%?
46.2%·53.8%
?
TOR wins ↑PHI wins ↓
PHI 44%Deserved to win?56% TOR
the game's chances, replayed · 2.50 xG vs 2.82 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
PHI 3@TOR 2
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-03-02 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickChristian DvorakPHI · 1G · 0.49 ixG · 3 blk77
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickNoah CatesPHI · 1G · 1A · 0.17 ixG77
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickAuston MatthewsTOR · 1.10 ixG · 3 blk · 1 tk74PHI
1Christian Dvorak772Noah Cates773
Bobby Brink654
Rasmus Ristolainen605
Denver Barkey596
Garnet Hathaway567
Sean Couturier558
Trevor Zegras559
Emil Andrae5410
Nicolas Deslauriers5411
Nikita Grebenkin5312
Carl Grundstrom5313
Cam York5214
Jamie Drysdale5015
Travis Sanheim5016
Matvei Michkov4917
Nick Seeler4818
Owen Tippett46
Christian Dvorak772Noah Cates773Bobby Brink654Rasmus Ristolainen605Denver Barkey596Garnet Hathaway567Sean Couturier558Trevor Zegras559Emil Andrae5410Nicolas Deslauriers5411Nikita Grebenkin5312Carl Grundstrom5313Cam York5214Jamie Drysdale5015Travis Sanheim5016Matvei Michkov4917Nick Seeler4818Owen Tippett46Goalies
TOR
1Auston Matthews742
Dakota Joshua673
William Nylander664
John Tavares665
Matias Maccelli656
Matthew Knies607
Jake McCabe568
Scott Laughton559
Nicolas Roy5410
Steven Lorentz5411
Philippe Myers5312
Max Domi5213
Brandon Carlo5114
Simon Benoit5115
Morgan Rielly5016
Bobby McMann5017
Easton Cowan4918
Oliver Ekman-Larsson48
Auston Matthews742Dakota Joshua673William Nylander664John Tavares665Matias Maccelli656Matthew Knies607Jake McCabe568Scott Laughton559Nicolas Roy5410Steven Lorentz5411Philippe Myers5312Max Domi5213Brandon Carlo5114Simon Benoit5115Morgan Rielly5016Bobby McMann5017Easton Cowan4918Oliver Ekman-Larsson48Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 3
2OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 1 (14) | 0 (4) | 1 (5) | 0 (2) | 3 |
| TOR | 1 (7) | 0 (11) | 1 (9) | 0 (4) | 2 |
| PHI | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/3 | Power play | 1/3 |
| 19 | Hits | 26 |
| 18 | Blocked shots | 14 |
| 8 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 17 | Giveaways | 13 |
| 22 | Faceoff wins | 32 |
| PHI | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals | 2 |
| 4.33 | Expected goals | 3.86 |
| 2.12 | 5v5 xG | 2.21 |
| 1.58 | Power-play xG | 0.76 |
| 53 | Shot attempts | 58 |
| 25 | On goal | 31 |
| 15 | High-danger | 9 |
| 2 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 10 | Missed | 13 |
| 18 | Blocked | 14 |
| 0.082 | xG per attempt | 0.067 |
| 31 ft | Avg shot distance | 34 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG79 of 111 attempts shown