Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Buffalo Sabres 3@Florida Panthers 2
2026-02-27BUF · FLA
CF%?
51.5%·48.5%
xGF%?
55.3%·44.7%
HDCF%?
57.1%·42.9%
5v5 xGF%?
65.6%·34.4%
5v5 CF%?
59.4%·40.6%
?
FLA wins ↑BUF wins ↓
BUF 50%Deserved to win?50% FLA
the game's chances, replayed · 3.74 xG vs 3.74 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
BUF 3@FLA 2
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-02-27 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickAlex TuchBUF · 1G · 1A · 1.10 ixG86
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickDaniil TarasovFLA · 1 gv · 36 sv · 2 GA84
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickAlex LyonBUF · 1 gv · 28 sv · 2 GA79BUF
1Alex Tuch862
Peyton Krebs723
Ryan McLeod674
Josh Norris655
Josh Doan646
Tage Thompson647
Beck Malenstyn628
Bowen Byram629
Noah Ostlund6110
Owen Power5911
Tyson Kozak5812
Rasmus Dahlin5413
Mattias Samuelsson5414
Michael Kesselring5215
Josh Dunne5116
Zach Metsa4917
Jack Quinn4818
Jason Zucker48
Alex Tuch862Peyton Krebs723Ryan McLeod674Josh Norris655Josh Doan646Tage Thompson647Beck Malenstyn628Bowen Byram629Noah Ostlund6110Owen Power5911Tyson Kozak5812Rasmus Dahlin5413Mattias Samuelsson5414Michael Kesselring5215Josh Dunne5116Zach Metsa4917Jack Quinn4818Jason Zucker48Goalies
FLA
1
Sam Bennett792
Matthew Tkachuk663
Brad Marchand654
Aaron Ekblad625
Luke Kunin596
Evan Rodrigues587
Donovan Sebrango578
Mackie Samoskevich559
Eetu Luostarinen5410
Anton Lundell5411
Gustav Forsling5312
A.J. Greer5213
Uvis Balinskis5114
Sam Reinhart5115
Sandis Vilmanis5016
Carter Verhaeghe4917
Niko Mikkola4818
Jeff Petry47
Sam Bennett792Matthew Tkachuk663Brad Marchand654Aaron Ekblad625Luke Kunin596Evan Rodrigues587Donovan Sebrango578Mackie Samoskevich559Eetu Luostarinen5410Anton Lundell5411Gustav Forsling5312A.J. Greer5213Uvis Balinskis5114Sam Reinhart5115Sandis Vilmanis5016Carter Verhaeghe4917Niko Mikkola4818Jeff Petry47Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 1 (16) | 0 (12) | 2 (11) | 3 |
| FLA | 0 (11) | 1 (11) | 1 (8) | 2 |
| BUF | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/3 | Power play | 2/4 |
| 14 | Hits | 20 |
| 17 | Blocked shots | 18 |
| 7 | Takeaways | 3 |
| 15 | Giveaways | 16 |
| 25 | Faceoff wins | 42 |
| BUF | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 2 |
| 6.45 | Expected goals | 5.21 |
| 4.65 | 5v5 xG | 2.43 |
| 0.82 | Power-play xG | 2.67 |
| 70 | Shot attempts | 66 |
| 39 | On goal | 30 |
| 20 | High-danger | 15 |
| 7 | Rebound chances | 4 |
| 14 | Missed | 18 |
| 17 | Blocked | 18 |
| 0.092 | xG per attempt | 0.079 |
| 33 ft | Avg shot distance | 31 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG101 of 136 attempts shown