Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Tampa Bay Lightning 4@Carolina Hurricanes 5
2026-02-26TBL · CAR
CF%?
47.9%·52.1%
xGF%?
39.8%·60.2%
HDCF%?
65.1%·34.9%
5v5 xGF%?
54.6%·45.4%
5v5 CF%?
48.9%·51.1%
?
CAR wins ↑TBL wins ↓
TBL 70%Deserved to win?30% CAR
the game's chances, replayed · 3.43 xG vs 2.30 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
TBL 4@CAR 5
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-02-26 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickJake GuentzelTBL · 3A · 0.55 ixG · 1 blk90
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickBrayden PointTBL · 1G · 1A · 0.77 ixG87
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickLogan StankovenCAR · 1G · 1A · 0.32 ixG79TBL
1Jake Guentzel902Brayden Point873
Dominic James784
Brandon Hagel685
Darren Raddysh676
Scott Sabourin627
Nikita Kucherov608
Oliver Bjorkstrand579
Yanni Gourde5610
Zemgus Girgensons5411
Pontus Holmberg5312
Declan Carlile5313
J.J. Moser5314
Ryan McDonagh5215
Erik Cernak5116
Charle-Edouard D'Astous4817
Gage Goncalves45
Jake Guentzel902Brayden Point873Dominic James784Brandon Hagel685Darren Raddysh676Scott Sabourin627Nikita Kucherov608Oliver Bjorkstrand579Yanni Gourde5610Zemgus Girgensons5411Pontus Holmberg5312Declan Carlile5313J.J. Moser5314Ryan McDonagh5215Erik Cernak5116Charle-Edouard D'Astous4817Gage Goncalves45Goalies
CAR
1Logan Stankoven792
Seth Jarvis773
Andrei Svechnikov744
Taylor Hall745
K'Andre Miller686
Sebastian Aho667
Jordan Martinook618
Alexander Nikishin619
Nikolaj Ehlers6010
Mark Jankowski6011
Jackson Blake5812
Shayne Gostisbehere5613
Jalen Chatfield5614
Jaccob Slavin5515
Sean Walker5516
Jordan Staal5417
William Carrier5418
Victor Hedman5219
Eric Robinson50
Logan Stankoven792Seth Jarvis773Andrei Svechnikov744Taylor Hall745K'Andre Miller686Sebastian Aho667Jordan Martinook618Alexander Nikishin619Nikolaj Ehlers6010Mark Jankowski6011Jackson Blake5812Shayne Gostisbehere5613Jalen Chatfield5614Jaccob Slavin5515Sean Walker5516Jordan Staal5417William Carrier5418Victor Hedman5219Eric Robinson50Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 2 (11) | 2 (11) | 0 (6) | 4 |
| CAR | 3 (13) | 1 (10) | 1 (10) | 5 |
| TBL | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/2 | Power play | 1/2 |
| 15 | Hits | 23 |
| 17 | Blocked shots | 21 |
| 6 | Takeaways | 7 |
| 20 | Giveaways | 20 |
| 36 | Faceoff wins | 29 |
| TBL | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 5 |
| 5.22 | Expected goals | 7.90 |
| 3.88 | 5v5 xG | 3.23 |
| 1.30 | Power-play xG | 0.36 |
| 57 | Shot attempts | 62 |
| 28 | On goal | 33 |
| 28 | High-danger | 15 |
| 3 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 12 | Missed | 8 |
| 17 | Blocked | 21 |
| 0.092 | xG per attempt | 0.127 |
| 28 ft | Avg shot distance | 34 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG81 of 119 attempts shown