Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Toronto Maple Leafs 1@Florida Panthers 5
2026-02-26TOR · FLA
CF%?
43.6%·56.4%
xGF%?
36.5%·63.5%
HDCF%?
38.5%·61.5%
5v5 xGF%?
42.2%·57.8%
5v5 CF%?
43.6%·56.4%
?
FLA wins ↑TOR wins ↓
TOR 33%Deserved to win?67% FLA
the game's chances, replayed · 2.65 xG vs 3.61 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
TOR 1@FLA 5
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-02-26 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickEvan RodriguesFLA · 1G · 1A · 0.94 ixG90
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickBrad MarchandFLA · 2G · 1.38 ixG · 1 blk84
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickSergei BobrovskyFLA · 1 gv · 29 sv · 1 GA78TOR
1
John Tavares702
Auston Matthews673
Oliver Ekman-Larsson614
Simon Benoit575
Nicholas Robertson556
Nicolas Roy547
Scott Laughton538
Steven Lorentz539
Cole Schwindt5310
Max Domi5311
Morgan Rielly5312
Dakota Joshua5213
Matias Maccelli5214
Matthew Knies5215
Brandon Carlo5116
Bobby McMann5017
Troy Stecher5018
Jake McCabe4919
William Nylander49
John Tavares702Auston Matthews673Oliver Ekman-Larsson614Simon Benoit575Nicholas Robertson556Nicolas Roy547Scott Laughton538Steven Lorentz539Cole Schwindt5310Max Domi5311Morgan Rielly5312Dakota Joshua5213Matias Maccelli5214Matthew Knies5215Brandon Carlo5116Bobby McMann5017Troy Stecher5018Jake McCabe4919William Nylander49Goalies
FLA
1Evan Rodrigues902Brad Marchand843
Anton Lundell754
Carter Verhaeghe675
Matthew Tkachuk666
Sam Bennett657
Sam Reinhart608
Eetu Luostarinen589
Sandis Vilmanis5610
Gustav Forsling5511
A.J. Greer5412
Niko Mikkola5213
Mackie Samoskevich5214
Donovan Sebrango5115
Jeff Petry4916
Uvis Balinskis4817
Aaron Ekblad47
Evan Rodrigues902Brad Marchand843Anton Lundell754Carter Verhaeghe675Matthew Tkachuk666Sam Bennett657Sam Reinhart608Eetu Luostarinen589Sandis Vilmanis5610Gustav Forsling5511A.J. Greer5412Niko Mikkola5213Mackie Samoskevich5214Donovan Sebrango5115Jeff Petry4916Uvis Balinskis4817Aaron Ekblad47Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 0 (7) | 0 (11) | 1 (12) | 1 |
| FLA | 3 (16) | 0 (10) | 2 (11) | 5 |
| TOR | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/4 | Power play | 1/4 |
| 21 | Hits | 19 |
| 10 | Blocked shots | 13 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 3 |
| 15 | Giveaways | 14 |
| 23 | Faceoff wins | 29 |
| TOR | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 5 |
| 3.57 | Expected goals | 6.22 |
| 2.65 | 5v5 xG | 3.62 |
| 0.82 | Power-play xG | 0.79 |
| 51 | Shot attempts | 66 |
| 30 | On goal | 37 |
| 15 | High-danger | 24 |
| 4 | Rebound chances | 4 |
| 11 | Missed | 16 |
| 10 | Blocked | 13 |
| 0.070 | xG per attempt | 0.094 |
| 31 ft | Avg shot distance | 31 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG94 of 117 attempts shown