Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Toronto Maple Leafs 2@Tampa Bay Lightning 4
2026-02-25TOR · TBL
CF%?
43.7%·56.3%
xGF%?
38.2%·61.8%
HDCF%?
40.0%·60.0%
5v5 xGF%?
36.5%·63.5%
5v5 CF%?
39.8%·60.2%
?
TBL wins ↑TOR wins ↓
TOR 36%Deserved to win?64% TBL
the game's chances, replayed · 4.00 xG vs 4.96 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
TOR 2@TBL 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-02-25 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickBrayden PointTBL · 2G · 1A · 1.51 ixG99
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickNikita KucherovTBL · 1G · 2A · 0.24 ixG90
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickAndrei VasilevskiyTBL · 32 sv · 2 GA · GSAx +2.3889TOR
1
William Nylander792
Matthew Knies753
Auston Matthews694
John Tavares655
Oliver Ekman-Larsson606
Matias Maccelli577
Max Domi568
Nicolas Roy569
Bobby McMann5510
Nicholas Robertson5511
Morgan Rielly5412
Brandon Carlo5313
Jake McCabe5314
Scott Laughton5115
Steven Lorentz5116
Simon Benoit5017
Calle Jarnkrok5018
Troy Stecher46
William Nylander792Matthew Knies753Auston Matthews694John Tavares655Oliver Ekman-Larsson606Matias Maccelli577Max Domi568Nicolas Roy569Bobby McMann5510Nicholas Robertson5511Morgan Rielly5412Brandon Carlo5313Jake McCabe5314Scott Laughton5115Steven Lorentz5116Simon Benoit5017Calle Jarnkrok5018Troy Stecher46Goalies
TBL
1Brayden Point992Nikita Kucherov903
Gage Goncalves864
Charle-Edouard D'Astous705
Jake Guentzel626
Pontus Holmberg617
Brandon Hagel608
Oliver Bjorkstrand599
Zemgus Girgensons5510
Yanni Gourde5511
J.J. Moser5512
Dominic James5413
Scott Sabourin5414
Darren Raddysh5215
Emil Lilleberg5116
Victor Hedman5117
Erik Cernak4818
Ryan McDonagh47
Brayden Point992Nikita Kucherov903Gage Goncalves864Charle-Edouard D'Astous705Jake Guentzel626Pontus Holmberg617Brandon Hagel608Oliver Bjorkstrand599Zemgus Girgensons5510Yanni Gourde5511J.J. Moser5512Dominic James5413Scott Sabourin5414Darren Raddysh5215Emil Lilleberg5116Victor Hedman5117Erik Cernak4818Ryan McDonagh47Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 0 (8) | 0 (14) | 2 (12) | 2 |
| TBL | 0 (4) | 2 (20) | 2 (12) | 4 |
| TOR | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2/2 | Power play | 0/4 |
| 18 | Hits | 17 |
| 11 | Blocked shots | 17 |
| 7 | Takeaways | 3 |
| 15 | Giveaways | 9 |
| 34 | Faceoff wins | 28 |
| TOR | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals | 4 |
| 4.68 | Expected goals | 7.58 |
| 2.66 | 5v5 xG | 4.63 |
| 1.84 | Power-play xG | 1.90 |
| 59 | Shot attempts | 76 |
| 34 | On goal | 36 |
| 14 | High-danger | 21 |
| 7 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 14 | Missed | 23 |
| 11 | Blocked | 17 |
| 0.079 | xG per attempt | 0.100 |
| 29 ft | Avg shot distance | 30 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG107 of 135 attempts shown