Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Buffalo Sabres 2@New Jersey Devils 1
2026-02-25BUF · NJD
CF%?
50.9%·49.1%
xGF%?
48.3%·51.7%
HDCF%?
43.6%·56.4%
5v5 xGF%?
62.5%·37.5%
5v5 CF%?
59.8%·40.2%
?
NJD wins ↑BUF wins ↓
BUF 36%Deserved to win?64% NJD
the game's chances, replayed · 2.84 xG vs 3.61 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
BUF 2@NJD 1
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-02-25 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickUkko-Pekka LuukkonenBUF · 27 sv · 1 GA · GSAx +2.4288
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickTage ThompsonBUF · 1G · 1A · 0.33 ixG76
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickJake AllenNJD · 28 sv · 2 GA · GSAx +1.2073BUF
1Tage Thompson762
Peyton Krebs703
Josh Doan634
Bowen Byram615
Ryan McLeod566
Jason Zucker567
Alex Tuch558
Jack Quinn549
Rasmus Dahlin5310
Noah Ostlund5211
Tyson Kozak5212
Beck Malenstyn5213
Mattias Samuelsson5114
Josh Dunne5115
Zach Metsa5116
Josh Norris5117
Michael Kesselring5118
Owen Power45
Tage Thompson762Peyton Krebs703Josh Doan634Bowen Byram615Ryan McLeod566Jason Zucker567Alex Tuch558Jack Quinn549Rasmus Dahlin5310Noah Ostlund5211Tyson Kozak5212Beck Malenstyn5213Mattias Samuelsson5114Josh Dunne5115Zach Metsa5116Josh Norris5117Michael Kesselring5118Owen Power45Goalies
NJD
1
Timo Meier682
Jesper Bratt633
Nico Hischier584
Simon Nemec585
Nick Bjugstad586
Dawson Mercer567
Brenden Dillon558
Cody Glass559
Brett Pesce5510
Dougie Hamilton5411
Lenni Hameenaho5312
Connor Brown5313
Paul Cotter5214
Jack Hughes5215
Maxim Tsyplakov5116
Johnathan Kovacevic4917
Arseny Gritsyuk4818
Jonas Siegenthaler45
Timo Meier682Jesper Bratt633Nico Hischier584Simon Nemec585Nick Bjugstad586Dawson Mercer567Brenden Dillon558Cody Glass559Brett Pesce5510Dougie Hamilton5411Lenni Hameenaho5312Connor Brown5313Paul Cotter5214Jack Hughes5215Maxim Tsyplakov5116Johnathan Kovacevic4917Arseny Gritsyuk4818Jonas Siegenthaler45Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 0 (9) | 1 (11) | 1 (10) | 2 |
| NJD | 0 (12) | 0 (10) | 1 (6) | 1 |
| BUF | NJD | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/4 | Power play | 1/3 |
| 21 | Hits | 24 |
| 13 | Blocked shots | 11 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 18 | Giveaways | 17 |
| 25 | Faceoff wins | 29 |
| BUF | NJD | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals | 1 |
| 4.24 | Expected goals | 4.54 |
| 3.92 | 5v5 xG | 2.35 |
| 0.26 | Power-play xG | 1.89 |
| 59 | Shot attempts | 57 |
| 30 | On goal | 28 |
| 17 | High-danger | 22 |
| 4 | Rebound chances | 2 |
| 16 | Missed | 18 |
| 13 | Blocked | 11 |
| 0.072 | xG per attempt | 0.080 |
| 33 ft | Avg shot distance | 31 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG92 of 116 attempts shown