Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Florida Panthers 1@Tampa Bay Lightning 6
2026-02-05FLA · TBL
CF%?
61.5%·38.5%
xGF%?
66.4%·33.6%
HDCF%?
60.0%·40.0%
5v5 xGF%?
65.7%·34.3%
5v5 CF%?
63.1%·36.9%
?
TBL wins ↑FLA wins ↓
FLA 64%Deserved to win?36% TBL
the game's chances, replayed · 2.95 xG vs 2.20 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
FLA 1@TBL 6
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-02-05 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickAndrei VasilevskiyTBL · 1 gv · 33 sv · 1 GA83
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickPontus HolmbergTBL · 1G · 1A · 0.34 ixG79
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickOliver BjorkstrandTBL · 1G · 1A · 0.29 ixG75FLA
1
Mackie Samoskevich702
Uvis Balinskis643
Anton Lundell644
Jesper Boqvist635
Sam Bennett616
Luke Kunin607
Cole Schwindt588
Jeff Petry579
Gustav Forsling5610
A.J. Greer5511
Carter Verhaeghe5512
Matthew Tkachuk5313
Donovan Sebrango5214
Niko Mikkola5115
Sandis Vilmanis5016
Eetu Luostarinen5017
Sam Reinhart4818
Mikulas Hovorka44
Mackie Samoskevich702Uvis Balinskis643Anton Lundell644Jesper Boqvist635Sam Bennett616Luke Kunin607Cole Schwindt588Jeff Petry579Gustav Forsling5610A.J. Greer5511Carter Verhaeghe5512Matthew Tkachuk5313Donovan Sebrango5214Niko Mikkola5115Sandis Vilmanis5016Eetu Luostarinen5017Sam Reinhart4818Mikulas Hovorka44Goalies
TBL
1Pontus Holmberg792Oliver Bjorkstrand753
Darren Raddysh654
Victor Hedman645
Zemgus Girgensons646
Erik Cernak647
Yanni Gourde638
Nikita Kucherov639
Ryan McDonagh6210
Gage Goncalves6111
Jake Guentzel6012
Brandon Hagel5913
Scott Sabourin5614
Dominic James5515
Jack Finley5316
Curtis Douglas4717
J.J. Moser4518
Declan Carlile44
Pontus Holmberg792Oliver Bjorkstrand753Darren Raddysh654Victor Hedman645Zemgus Girgensons646Erik Cernak647Yanni Gourde638Nikita Kucherov639Ryan McDonagh6210Gage Goncalves6111Jake Guentzel6012Brandon Hagel5913Scott Sabourin5614Dominic James5515Jack Finley5316Curtis Douglas4717J.J. Moser4518Declan Carlile44Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 0 (19) | 0 (9) | 1 (6) | 1 |
| TBL | 2 (7) | 2 (11) | 2 (10) | 6 |
| FLA | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/13 | Power play | 1/12 |
| 17 | Hits | 34 |
| 20 | Blocked shots | 6 |
| 3 | Takeaways | 5 |
| 16 | Giveaways | 18 |
| 31 | Faceoff wins | 25 |
| FLA | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 6 |
| 5.24 | Expected goals | 2.65 |
| 3.36 | 5v5 xG | 1.75 |
| 1.87 | Power-play xG | 0.82 |
| 67 | Shot attempts | 42 |
| 34 | On goal | 28 |
| 12 | High-danger | 8 |
| 3 | Rebound chances | 2 |
| 13 | Missed | 8 |
| 20 | Blocked | 6 |
| 0.078 | xG per attempt | 0.063 |
| 32 ft | Avg shot distance | 35 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG83 of 109 attempts shown