Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Ottawa Senators 3@Carolina Hurricanes 4
2026-02-03OTT · CAR
CF%?
52.8%·47.2%
xGF%?
51.4%·48.6%
HDCF%?
53.3%·46.7%
5v5 xGF%?
52.8%·47.2%
5v5 CF%?
51.0%·49.0%
?
CAR wins ↑OTT wins ↓
OTT 77%Deserved to win?23% CAR
the game's chances, replayed · 3.61 xG vs 2.09 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
OTT 3@CAR 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-02-03 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickSebastian AhoCAR · 1G · 2A · 0.12 ixG84
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickSeth JarvisCAR · 2G · 0.66 ixG · 1 blk80
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickTim StützleOTT · 1G · 0.26 ixG · 1 blk74OTT
1Tim Stützle742
Dylan Cozens733
Jake Sanderson704
Drake Batherson675
Stephen Halliday666
Nick Cousins647
Brady Tkachuk608
Shane Pinto599
Jordan Spence5910
Michael Amadio5911
Lars Eller5912
Ridly Greig5613
Thomas Chabot5614
Fabian Zetterlund5515
Tyler Kleven5316
Nick Jensen5017
Artem Zub5018
Claude Giroux49
Tim Stützle742Dylan Cozens733Jake Sanderson704Drake Batherson675Stephen Halliday666Nick Cousins647Brady Tkachuk608Shane Pinto599Jordan Spence5910Michael Amadio5911Lars Eller5912Ridly Greig5613Thomas Chabot5614Fabian Zetterlund5515Tyler Kleven5316Nick Jensen5017Artem Zub5018Claude Giroux49Goalies
CAR
1Sebastian Aho842Seth Jarvis803
Jordan Staal684
K'Andre Miller635
Jaccob Slavin606
Logan Stankoven597
Andrei Svechnikov588
Nikolaj Ehlers589
Jackson Blake5710
Taylor Hall5611
Alexander Nikishin5412
Mark Jankowski5313
Jordan Martinook5214
William Carrier5115
Jesperi Kotkaniemi5016
Jalen Chatfield4917
Shayne Gostisbehere4818
Sean Walker47
Sebastian Aho842Seth Jarvis803Jordan Staal684K'Andre Miller635Jaccob Slavin606Logan Stankoven597Andrei Svechnikov588Nikolaj Ehlers589Jackson Blake5710Taylor Hall5611Alexander Nikishin5412Mark Jankowski5313Jordan Martinook5214William Carrier5115Jesperi Kotkaniemi5016Jalen Chatfield4917Shayne Gostisbehere4818Sean Walker47Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTT | 1 (11) | 1 (10) | 1 (6) | 3 |
| CAR | 1 (9) | 2 (8) | 1 (2) | 4 |
| OTT | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 2/3 | Power play | 1/2 |
| 20 | Hits | 27 |
| 11 | Blocked shots | 18 |
| 7 | Takeaways | 5 |
| 16 | Giveaways | 11 |
| 33 | Faceoff wins | 33 |
| OTT | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 4 |
| 4.64 | Expected goals | 4.40 |
| 4.04 | 5v5 xG | 3.61 |
| 0.61 | Power-play xG | 0.19 |
| 56 | Shot attempts | 50 |
| 27 | On goal | 19 |
| 16 | High-danger | 14 |
| 11 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 18 | Missed | 13 |
| 11 | Blocked | 18 |
| 0.083 | xG per attempt | 0.088 |
| 28 ft | Avg shot distance | 32 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG77 of 106 attempts shown