Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Toronto Maple Leafs 4@Calgary Flames 2
2026-02-02TOR · CGY
CF%?
42.6%·57.4%
xGF%?
50.6%·49.4%
HDCF%?
51.5%·48.5%
5v5 xGF%?
45.5%·54.5%
5v5 CF%?
41.1%·58.9%
?
CGY wins ↑TOR wins ↓
TOR 44%Deserved to win?56% CGY
the game's chances, replayed · 2.01 xG vs 2.27 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
TOR 4@CGY 2
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-02-02 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickWilliam NylanderTOR · 1G · 2A · 0.27 ixG92
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickNazem KadriCGY · 1G · 1A · 0.12 ixG80
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickJoel FarabeeCGY · 1G · 1A · 0.20 ixG75TOR
1William Nylander922
John Tavares703
Matias Maccelli664
Troy Stecher645
Scott Laughton646
Bobby McMann637
Auston Matthews628
Simon Benoit609
Brandon Carlo5910
Nicolas Roy5711
Jake McCabe5512
Oliver Ekman-Larsson5513
Nicholas Robertson5514
Steven Lorentz5415
Calle Jarnkrok5016
Philippe Myers5017
Max Domi4818
Matthew Knies47
William Nylander922John Tavares703Matias Maccelli664Troy Stecher645Scott Laughton646Bobby McMann637Auston Matthews628Simon Benoit609Brandon Carlo5910Nicolas Roy5711Jake McCabe5512Oliver Ekman-Larsson5513Nicholas Robertson5514Steven Lorentz5415Calle Jarnkrok5016Philippe Myers5017Max Domi4818Matthew Knies47Goalies
CGY
1Nazem Kadri802Joel Farabee753
Matt Coronato644
Joel Hanley635
MacKenzie Weegar616
Adam Klapka597
Mikael Backlund578
Zach Whitecloud569
Kevin Bahl5610
Connor Zary5511
Yegor Sharangovich5312
Ryan Lomberg5313
Matvei Gridin5114
Morgan Frost5015
Martin Pospisil5016
Jonathan Huberdeau5017
Zayne Parekh4918
Yan Kuznetsov48
Nazem Kadri802Joel Farabee753Matt Coronato644Joel Hanley635MacKenzie Weegar616Adam Klapka597Mikael Backlund578Zach Whitecloud569Kevin Bahl5610Connor Zary5511Yegor Sharangovich5312Ryan Lomberg5313Matvei Gridin5114Morgan Frost5015Martin Pospisil5016Jonathan Huberdeau5017Zayne Parekh4918Yan Kuznetsov48Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 1 (3) | 2 (11) | 1 (8) | 4 |
| CGY | 0 (7) | 2 (10) | 0 (13) | 2 |
| TOR | CGY | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/1 | Power play | 0/2 |
| 14 | Hits | 20 |
| 17 | Blocked shots | 27 |
| 7 | Takeaways | 3 |
| 15 | Giveaways | 18 |
| 28 | Faceoff wins | 17 |
| TOR | CGY | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 2 |
| 4.29 | Expected goals | 4.20 |
| 3.24 | 5v5 xG | 3.88 |
| 0.00 | Power-play xG | 0.32 |
| 52 | Shot attempts | 70 |
| 22 | On goal | 30 |
| 17 | High-danger | 16 |
| 1 | Rebound chances | 2 |
| 13 | Missed | 13 |
| 17 | Blocked | 27 |
| 0.083 | xG per attempt | 0.060 |
| 32 ft | Avg shot distance | 35 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG78 of 122 attempts shown