Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Montréal Canadiens 4@Buffalo Sabres 2
2026-01-31MTL · BUF
CF%?
40.8%·59.2%
xGF%?
43.5%·56.5%
HDCF%?
37.0%·63.0%
5v5 xGF%?
32.2%·67.8%
5v5 CF%?
38.6%·61.4%
?
BUF wins ↑MTL wins ↓
MTL 15%Deserved to win?85% BUF
the game's chances, replayed · 2.46 xG vs 4.98 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
MTL 4@BUF 2
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-01-31 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickJakub DobesMTL · 36 sv · 2 GA · GSAx +2.7895
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickCole CaufieldMTL · 2G · 1A · 0.51 ixG90
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickNick SuzukiMTL · 2A · 0.05 ixG · 1 blk81MTL
1Cole Caufield902Nick Suzuki813
Noah Dobson754
Juraj Slafkovský725
Oliver Kapanen696
Lane Hutson647
Phillip Danault568
Kirby Dach549
Brendan Gallagher5410
Ivan Demidov5311
Mike Matheson5212
Josh Anderson5213
Kaiden Guhle5114
Joe Veleno4915
Arber Xhekaj4816
Jake Evans4717
Zachary Bolduc4518
Alexandre Carrier44
Cole Caufield902Nick Suzuki813Noah Dobson754Juraj Slafkovský725Oliver Kapanen696Lane Hutson647Phillip Danault568Kirby Dach549Brendan Gallagher5410Ivan Demidov5311Mike Matheson5212Josh Anderson5213Kaiden Guhle5114Joe Veleno4915Arber Xhekaj4816Jake Evans4717Zachary Bolduc4518Alexandre Carrier44Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 1 (11) | 0 (6) | 3 (14) | 4 |
| BUF | 0 (11) | 2 (12) | 0 (15) | 2 |
| MTL | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/3 | Power play | 2/4 |
| 29 | Hits | 24 |
| 11 | Blocked shots | 21 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 13 | Giveaways | 16 |
| 40 | Faceoff wins | 17 |
| MTL | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 2 |
| 5.55 | Expected goals | 7.22 |
| 2.62 | 5v5 xG | 5.52 |
| 1.02 | Power-play xG | 1.69 |
| 53 | Shot attempts | 77 |
| 31 | On goal | 38 |
| 17 | High-danger | 29 |
| 5 | Rebound chances | 7 |
| 11 | Missed | 18 |
| 11 | Blocked | 21 |
| 0.105 | xG per attempt | 0.094 |
| 30 ft | Avg shot distance | 29 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG98 of 130 attempts shown