Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Carolina Hurricanes 3@Washington Capitals 4
2026-01-31CAR · WSH
CF%?
40.4%·59.6%
xGF%?
34.8%·65.2%
HDCF%?
27.0%·73.0%
5v5 xGF%?
38.5%·61.5%
5v5 CF%?
42.5%·57.5%
?
WSH wins ↑CAR wins ↓
CAR 17%Deserved to win?83% WSH
the game's chances, replayed · 2.58 xG vs 4.85 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
CAR 3@WSH 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-01-31 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickAliaksei ProtasWSH · 2A · 0.56 ixG · 1 gv81
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickJustin SourdifWSH · 1G · 0.77 ixG · 1 blk77
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickHendrix LapierreWSH · 1G · 0.87 ixG · 1 gv74CAR
1
Shayne Gostisbehere722
Mark Jankowski673
Jesperi Kotkaniemi654
Sebastian Aho645
William Carrier636
Jordan Staal607
Jordan Martinook608
K'Andre Miller579
Logan Stankoven5710
Alexander Nikishin5311
Andrei Svechnikov5312
Seth Jarvis5013
Sean Walker5014
Jaccob Slavin5015
Nikolaj Ehlers4916
Jackson Blake4817
Taylor Hall4618
Jalen Chatfield40
Shayne Gostisbehere722Mark Jankowski673Jesperi Kotkaniemi654Sebastian Aho645William Carrier636Jordan Staal607Jordan Martinook608K'Andre Miller579Logan Stankoven5710Alexander Nikishin5311Andrei Svechnikov5312Seth Jarvis5013Sean Walker5014Jaccob Slavin5015Nikolaj Ehlers4916Jackson Blake4817Taylor Hall4618Jalen Chatfield40Goalies
WSH
1Aliaksei Protas812Justin Sourdif773Hendrix Lapierre744
John Carlson715
Jakob Chychrun716
Dylan Strome687
Sonny Milano658
Tom Wilson659
Nic Dowd6110
Ethen Frank5911
Brandon Duhaime5812
Rasmus Sandin5413
Trevor van Riemsdyk5314
Alex Ovechkin5315
Declan Chisholm5216
Anthony Beauvillier5217
Dylan McIlrath5118
Ryan Leonard50
Aliaksei Protas812Justin Sourdif773Hendrix Lapierre744John Carlson715Jakob Chychrun716Dylan Strome687Sonny Milano658Tom Wilson659Nic Dowd6110Ethen Frank5911Brandon Duhaime5812Rasmus Sandin5413Trevor van Riemsdyk5314Alex Ovechkin5315Declan Chisholm5216Anthony Beauvillier5217Dylan McIlrath5118Ryan Leonard50Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | 2 (12) | 1 (5) | 0 (5) | 0 (0) | 3 |
| WSH | 0 (19) | 2 (7) | 1 (13) | 1 (3) | 4 |
| CAR | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/2 | Power play | 0/4 |
| 29 | Hits | 24 |
| 11 | Blocked shots | 18 |
| 6 | Takeaways | 2 |
| 16 | Giveaways | 18 |
| 29 | Faceoff wins | 29 |
| CAR | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 4 |
| 3.53 | Expected goals | 6.61 |
| 3.06 | 5v5 xG | 4.89 |
| 0.35 | Power-play xG | 1.26 |
| 55 | Shot attempts | 81 |
| 22 | On goal | 42 |
| 10 | High-danger | 27 |
| 2 | Rebound chances | 4 |
| 22 | Missed | 21 |
| 11 | Blocked | 18 |
| 0.064 | xG per attempt | 0.082 |
| 37 ft | Avg shot distance | 31 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG107 of 136 attempts shown