Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Buffalo Sabres 7@Toronto Maple Leafs 4
2026-01-27BUF · TOR
CF%?
52.7%·47.3%
xGF%?
53.2%·46.8%
HDCF%?
44.8%·55.2%
5v5 xGF%?
48.5%·51.5%
5v5 CF%?
51.5%·48.5%
?
TOR wins ↑BUF wins ↓
BUF 54%Deserved to win?46% TOR
the game's chances, replayed · 2.68 xG vs 2.48 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
BUF 7@TOR 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-01-27 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickRasmus DahlinBUF · 3G · 2A · 1.00 ixG99
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickAuston MatthewsTOR · 1G · 2A · 0.47 ixG98
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickMax DomiTOR · 1G · 2A · 0.35 ixG84BUF
1Rasmus Dahlin992
Tage Thompson813
Mattias Samuelsson764
Josh Doan685
Ryan McLeod676
Jack Quinn657
Peyton Krebs618
Alex Tuch599
Zach Benson5410
Michael Kesselring5311
Bowen Byram5312
Noah Ostlund5213
Jason Zucker5114
Owen Power4915
Tyson Kozak4916
Zach Metsa4817
Konsta Helenius48
Rasmus Dahlin992Tage Thompson813Mattias Samuelsson764Josh Doan685Ryan McLeod676Jack Quinn657Peyton Krebs618Alex Tuch599Zach Benson5410Michael Kesselring5311Bowen Byram5312Noah Ostlund5213Jason Zucker5114Owen Power4915Tyson Kozak4916Zach Metsa4817Konsta Helenius48Goalies
TOR
1Auston Matthews982Max Domi843
Bobby McMann754
Matthew Knies675
John Tavares656
Matias Maccelli607
Oliver Ekman-Larsson588
Jake McCabe569
Scott Laughton5610
Beck Malenstyn5511
Nicholas Robertson5512
Easton Cowan5513
Troy Stecher5514
Simon Benoit5415
Calle Jarnkrok5316
Steven Lorentz5217
Nicolas Roy5218
Brandon Carlo5119
Morgan Rielly51
Auston Matthews982Max Domi843Bobby McMann754Matthew Knies675John Tavares656Matias Maccelli607Oliver Ekman-Larsson588Jake McCabe569Scott Laughton5610Beck Malenstyn5511Nicholas Robertson5512Easton Cowan5513Troy Stecher5514Simon Benoit5415Calle Jarnkrok5316Steven Lorentz5217Nicolas Roy5218Brandon Carlo5119Morgan Rielly51Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 3 (10) | 1 (16) | 3 (5) | 7 |
| TOR | 2 (6) | 1 (7) | 1 (10) | 4 |
| BUF | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/2 | Power play | 0/0 |
| 16 | Hits | 32 |
| 13 | Blocked shots | 20 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 8 |
| 24 | Giveaways | 11 |
| 17 | Faceoff wins | 35 |
| BUF | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Goals | 4 |
| 4.34 | Expected goals | 3.81 |
| 3.30 | 5v5 xG | 3.50 |
| 0.43 | Power-play xG | 0.31 |
| 59 | Shot attempts | 53 |
| 31 | On goal | 23 |
| 13 | High-danger | 16 |
| 0 | Rebound chances | 5 |
| 15 | Missed | 10 |
| 13 | Blocked | 20 |
| 0.074 | xG per attempt | 0.072 |
| 34 ft | Avg shot distance | 28 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG79 of 112 attempts shown