Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Carolina Hurricanes 4@Ottawa Senators 1
2026-01-24CAR · OTT
CF%?
41.0%·59.0%
xGF%?
46.1%·53.9%
HDCF%?
46.7%·53.3%
5v5 xGF%?
47.5%·52.5%
5v5 CF%?
43.9%·56.1%
?
OTT wins ↑CAR wins ↓
CAR 31%Deserved to win?69% OTT
the game's chances, replayed · 1.96 xG vs 2.91 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
CAR 4@OTT 1
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-01-24 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickBrandon BussiCAR · 1 gv · 36 sv · 1 GA90
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickTim StützleOTT · 1G · 0.61 ixG · 2 blk73
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickSeth JarvisCAR · 1G · 1A · 0.08 ixG71CAR
1Seth Jarvis712
Jalen Chatfield713
Andrei Svechnikov694
Mark Jankowski655
William Carrier646
Nikolaj Ehlers647
Jackson Blake618
Taylor Hall589
Jaccob Slavin5810
K'Andre Miller5811
Alexander Nikishin5712
Jordan Staal5613
Logan Stankoven5614
Jordan Martinook5415
Jesperi Kotkaniemi5216
Joel Nystrom5117
Sebastian Aho4618
Sean Walker44
Seth Jarvis712Jalen Chatfield713Andrei Svechnikov694Mark Jankowski655William Carrier646Nikolaj Ehlers647Jackson Blake618Taylor Hall589Jaccob Slavin5810K'Andre Miller5811Alexander Nikishin5712Jordan Staal5613Logan Stankoven5614Jordan Martinook5415Jesperi Kotkaniemi5216Joel Nystrom5117Sebastian Aho4618Sean Walker44Goalies
OTT
1Tim Stützle732
Claude Giroux633
Shane Pinto624
Ridly Greig615
Fabian Zetterlund596
Dylan Cozens597
Brady Tkachuk578
Tyler Kleven579
Drake Batherson5710
Thomas Chabot5711
Jake Sanderson5612
Artem Zub5513
Nick Cousins5314
Jordan Spence5215
Michael Amadio5216
Nikolas Matinpalo5117
Lars Eller5018
Stephen Halliday47
Tim Stützle732Claude Giroux633Shane Pinto624Ridly Greig615Fabian Zetterlund596Dylan Cozens597Brady Tkachuk578Tyler Kleven579Drake Batherson5710Thomas Chabot5711Jake Sanderson5612Artem Zub5513Nick Cousins5314Jordan Spence5215Michael Amadio5216Nikolas Matinpalo5117Lars Eller5018Stephen Halliday47Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | 3 (8) | 1 (8) | 0 (3) | 4 |
| OTT | 0 (14) | 1 (7) | 0 (16) | 1 |
| CAR | OTT | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/4 | Power play | 0/4 |
| 12 | Hits | 34 |
| 14 | Blocked shots | 15 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 8 |
| 16 | Giveaways | 13 |
| 18 | Faceoff wins | 38 |
| CAR | OTT | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 1 |
| 4.02 | Expected goals | 4.70 |
| 2.58 | 5v5 xG | 2.84 |
| 0.27 | Power-play xG | 1.69 |
| 43 | Shot attempts | 62 |
| 19 | On goal | 37 |
| 14 | High-danger | 16 |
| 1 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 10 | Missed | 10 |
| 14 | Blocked | 15 |
| 0.094 | xG per attempt | 0.076 |
| 33 ft | Avg shot distance | 30 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG76 of 105 attempts shown