Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Buffalo Sabres 4@Montréal Canadiens 2
2026-01-22BUF · MTL
CF%?
40.0%·60.0%
xGF%?
50.1%·49.9%
HDCF%?
34.6%·65.4%
5v5 xGF%?
44.4%·55.6%
5v5 CF%?
38.9%·61.1%
?
MTL wins ↑BUF wins ↓
BUF 38%Deserved to win?62% MTL
the game's chances, replayed · 2.34 xG vs 2.96 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
BUF 4@MTL 2
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-01-22 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickNick SuzukiMTL · 1G · 1A · 0.33 ixG81
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickUkko-Pekka LuukkonenBUF · 32 sv · 2 GA · GSAx +1.1974
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickBeck MalenstynBUF · 1G · 0.20 ixG · 2 blk71BUF
1Beck Malenstyn712
Peyton Krebs713
Mattias Samuelsson684
Zach Benson685
Tage Thompson676
Ryan McLeod677
Alex Tuch668
Jason Zucker649
Jack Quinn6310
Konsta Helenius6311
Noah Ostlund5612
Rasmus Dahlin5313
Jacob Bryson5314
Michael Kesselring5115
Josh Doan5116
Bowen Byram5017
Owen Power49
Beck Malenstyn712Peyton Krebs713Mattias Samuelsson684Zach Benson685Tage Thompson676Ryan McLeod677Alex Tuch668Jason Zucker649Jack Quinn6310Konsta Helenius6311Noah Ostlund5612Rasmus Dahlin5313Jacob Bryson5314Michael Kesselring5115Josh Doan5116Bowen Byram5017Owen Power49Goalies
MTL
1Nick Suzuki812
Mike Matheson653
Cole Caufield644
Zachary Bolduc645
Jake Evans606
Noah Dobson587
Oliver Kapanen578
Kaiden Guhle579
Brendan Gallagher5610
Kirby Dach5511
Joe Veleno5412
Josh Anderson5413
Alexandre Carrier5414
Ivan Demidov5415
Lane Hutson5316
Jayden Struble5117
Juraj Slafkovský5018
Phillip Danault47
Nick Suzuki812Mike Matheson653Cole Caufield644Zachary Bolduc645Jake Evans606Noah Dobson587Oliver Kapanen578Kaiden Guhle579Brendan Gallagher5610Kirby Dach5511Joe Veleno5412Josh Anderson5413Alexandre Carrier5414Ivan Demidov5415Lane Hutson5316Jayden Struble5117Juraj Slafkovský5018Phillip Danault47Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 2 (8) | 1 (3) | 1 (6) | 4 |
| MTL | 0 (10) | 2 (15) | 0 (9) | 2 |
| BUF | MTL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/4 | Power play | 0/5 |
| 26 | Hits | 28 |
| 17 | Blocked shots | 20 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 3 |
| 9 | Giveaways | 12 |
| 20 | Faceoff wins | 36 |
| BUF | MTL | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 2 |
| 4.68 | Expected goals | 4.67 |
| 2.94 | 5v5 xG | 3.68 |
| 0.32 | Power-play xG | 0.67 |
| 44 | Shot attempts | 66 |
| 17 | On goal | 34 |
| 9 | High-danger | 17 |
| 0 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 10 | Missed | 12 |
| 17 | Blocked | 20 |
| 0.106 | xG per attempt | 0.071 |
| 29 ft | Avg shot distance | 32 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG73 of 110 attempts shown