Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Buffalo Sabres 5@Nashville Predators 3
2026-01-20BUF · NSH
CF%?
36.2%·63.8%
xGF%?
38.7%·61.3%
HDCF%?
32.1%·67.9%
5v5 xGF%?
43.8%·56.2%
5v5 CF%?
41.1%·58.9%
?
NSH wins ↑BUF wins ↓
BUF 29%Deserved to win?71% NSH
the game's chances, replayed · 2.49 xG vs 3.71 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
BUF 5@NSH 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-01-20 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickRyan O'ReillyNSH · 2G · 1A · 0.85 ixG99
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickFilip ForsbergNSH · 1G · 2A · 0.50 ixG91
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickKonsta HeleniusBUF · 1G · 2A · 0.30 ixG90BUF
1Konsta Helenius902
Peyton Krebs803
Noah Ostlund784
Alex Tuch665
Tage Thompson656
Mattias Samuelsson647
Rasmus Dahlin648
Owen Power639
Josh Doan5810
Beck Malenstyn5811
Jack Quinn5512
Jason Zucker5513
Jordan Greenway5414
Bowen Byram5015
Zach Benson4916
Ryan McLeod47
Konsta Helenius902Peyton Krebs803Noah Ostlund784Alex Tuch665Tage Thompson656Mattias Samuelsson647Rasmus Dahlin648Owen Power639Josh Doan5810Beck Malenstyn5811Jack Quinn5512Jason Zucker5513Jordan Greenway5414Bowen Byram5015Zach Benson4916Ryan McLeod47Goalies
NSH
1Ryan O'Reilly992Filip Forsberg913
Luke Evangelista714
Nick Blankenburg595
Cole Smith596
Brady Skjei597
Michael McCarron558
Erik Haula549
Jacob Bryson5310
Zach Metsa5311
Jonathan Marchessault5312
Matthew Wood5313
Steven Stamkos5214
Ozzy Wiesblatt5215
Roman Josi5216
Nicolas Hague5217
Nick Perbix5118
Fedor Svechkov5119
Michael Bunting4820
Justin Barron48
Ryan O'Reilly992Filip Forsberg913Luke Evangelista714Nick Blankenburg595Cole Smith596Brady Skjei597Michael McCarron558Erik Haula549Jacob Bryson5310Zach Metsa5311Jonathan Marchessault5312Matthew Wood5313Steven Stamkos5214Ozzy Wiesblatt5215Roman Josi5216Nicolas Hague5217Nick Perbix5118Fedor Svechkov5119Michael Bunting4820Justin Barron48Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 3 (14) | 1 (11) | 1 (8) | 5 |
| NSH | 0 (8) | 2 (12) | 1 (14) | 3 |
| BUF | NSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/2 | Power play | 1/3 |
| 17 | Hits | 27 |
| 8 | Blocked shots | 20 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 6 |
| 15 | Giveaways | 10 |
| 27 | Faceoff wins | 33 |
| BUF | NSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Goals | 3 |
| 3.60 | Expected goals | 5.69 |
| 2.85 | 5v5 xG | 3.65 |
| 0.27 | Power-play xG | 2.04 |
| 47 | Shot attempts | 83 |
| 33 | On goal | 34 |
| 9 | High-danger | 19 |
| 2 | Rebound chances | 6 |
| 6 | Missed | 29 |
| 8 | Blocked | 20 |
| 0.077 | xG per attempt | 0.069 |
| 32 ft | Avg shot distance | 32 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG102 of 130 attempts shown