Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
San Jose Sharks 1@Tampa Bay Lightning 4
2026-01-20SJS · TBL
CF%?
40.4%·59.6%
xGF%?
31.4%·68.6%
HDCF%?
43.8%·56.3%
5v5 xGF%?
36.9%·63.1%
5v5 CF%?
39.6%·60.4%
?
TBL wins ↑SJS wins ↓
SJS 16%Deserved to win?84% TBL
the game's chances, replayed · 1.10 xG vs 2.70 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
SJS 1@TBL 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-01-20 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickBrandon HagelTBL · 2G · 1A · 1.03 ixG99
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickAnthony CirelliTBL · 1G · 1A · 0.09 ixG77
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickJake GuentzelTBL · 1G · 1A · 0.36 ixG76SJS
1
Tyler Toffoli702
Alexander Wennberg653
William Eklund614
Macklin Celebrini615
Vincent Desharnais596
Barclay Goodrow587
Zack Ostapchuk588
Dmitry Orlov569
Pavol Regenda5510
Ryan Reaves5311
Michael Misa5312
Mario Ferraro5213
Adam Gaudette5214
John Klingberg5215
Collin Graf5116
Sam Dickinson5017
Will Smith5018
Timothy Liljegren48
Tyler Toffoli702Alexander Wennberg653William Eklund614Macklin Celebrini615Vincent Desharnais596Barclay Goodrow587Zack Ostapchuk588Dmitry Orlov569Pavol Regenda5510Ryan Reaves5311Michael Misa5312Mario Ferraro5213Adam Gaudette5214John Klingberg5215Collin Graf5116Sam Dickinson5017Will Smith5018Timothy Liljegren48Goalies
TBL
1Brandon Hagel992Anthony Cirelli773Jake Guentzel764
Nikita Kucherov745
Dominic James666
Gage Goncalves607
Erik Cernak558
Zemgus Girgensons559
Pontus Holmberg5410
Nick Paul5311
Declan Carlile5212
J.J. Moser5213
Jack Finley5114
Oliver Bjorkstrand5115
Darren Raddysh5116
Yanni Gourde5117
Max Crozier5018
Charle-Edouard D'Astous43
Brandon Hagel992Anthony Cirelli773Jake Guentzel764Nikita Kucherov745Dominic James666Gage Goncalves607Erik Cernak558Zemgus Girgensons559Pontus Holmberg5410Nick Paul5311Declan Carlile5212J.J. Moser5213Jack Finley5114Oliver Bjorkstrand5115Darren Raddysh5116Yanni Gourde5117Max Crozier5018Charle-Edouard D'Astous43Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 1 (9) | 0 (5) | 0 (9) | 1 |
| TBL | 1 (6) | 2 (7) | 1 (7) | 4 |
| SJS | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/1 | Power play | 0/1 |
| 29 | Hits | 13 |
| 17 | Blocked shots | 21 |
| 7 | Takeaways | 1 |
| 13 | Giveaways | 18 |
| 28 | Faceoff wins | 22 |
| SJS | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 4 |
| 2.84 | Expected goals | 6.21 |
| 2.58 | 5v5 xG | 4.42 |
| 0.26 | Power-play xG | 0.17 |
| 44 | Shot attempts | 65 |
| 23 | On goal | 20 |
| 14 | High-danger | 18 |
| 0 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 4 | Missed | 24 |
| 17 | Blocked | 21 |
| 0.065 | xG per attempt | 0.096 |
| 38 ft | Avg shot distance | 31 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG71 of 109 attempts shown