Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Minnesota Wild 6@Toronto Maple Leafs 3
MIN · TOR
CF%?
57.5%·42.5%
xGF%?
65.6%·34.4%
HDCF%?
67.4%·32.6%
5v5 xGF%?
56.6%·43.4%
5v5 CF%?
54.4%·45.6%
?
TOR wins ↑MIN wins ↓
MIN 71%Deserved to win?29% TOR
the game's chances, replayed · 3.83 xG vs 2.59 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our modelMIN 6@TOR 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-01-19 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickMarcus FolignoMIN · 3G · 0.86 ixG · 2 blk99
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickVladimir TarasenkoMIN · 2G · 1A · 0.90 ixG91
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickRyan HartmanMIN · 1G · 1A · 0.58 ixG84MIN
1
Marcus Foligno992
Vladimir Tarasenko913
Ryan Hartman844
Brock Faber775
Kirill Kaprizov736
Quinn Hughes697
Mats Zuccarello688
Nico Sturm649
Danila Yurov6210
Vinnie Hinostroza6011
Jake Middleton6012
Hunter Haight5713
Tyler Pitlick5714
Ben Jones5615
Jared Spurgeon5516
Yakov Trenin5517
David Jiricek5118
Daemon Hunt47
Marcus Foligno992
Vladimir Tarasenko913
Ryan Hartman844
Brock Faber775
Kirill Kaprizov736
Quinn Hughes697
Mats Zuccarello688
Nico Sturm649
Danila Yurov6210
Vinnie Hinostroza6011
Jake Middleton6012
Hunter Haight5713
Tyler Pitlick5714
Ben Jones5615
Jared Spurgeon5516
Yakov Trenin5517
David Jiricek5118
Daemon Hunt47Goalies
TOR
1
John Tavares752
Nicolas Roy713
Auston Matthews674
Nicholas Robertson655
Max Domi626
Matthew Knies607
Steven Lorentz598
Scott Laughton589
Easton Cowan5610
Jake McCabe5511
Troy Stecher5412
Morgan Rielly5313
Bobby McMann5114
Simon Benoit5115
Brandon Carlo5016
Calle Jarnkrok5017
Oliver Ekman-Larsson5018
Matias Maccelli49
John Tavares752
Nicolas Roy713
Auston Matthews674
Nicholas Robertson655
Max Domi626
Matthew Knies607
Steven Lorentz598
Scott Laughton589
Easton Cowan5610
Jake McCabe5511
Troy Stecher5412
Morgan Rielly5313
Bobby McMann5114
Simon Benoit5115
Brandon Carlo5016
Calle Jarnkrok5017
Oliver Ekman-Larsson5018
Matias Maccelli49Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 2 (9) | 3 (20) | 1 (10) | 6 |
| TOR | 1 (8) | 0 (8) | 2 (14) | 3 |
| MIN | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 2/3 | Power play | 1/3 |
| 21 | Hits | 23 |
| 17 | Blocked shots | 13 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 5 |
| 12 | Giveaways | 12 |
| 25 | Faceoff wins | 29 |
| MIN | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Goals | 3 |
| 7.08 | Expected goals | 3.72 |
| 4.12 | 5v5 xG | 3.16 |
| 1.69 | Power-play xG | 0.56 |
| 73 | Shot attempts | 54 |
| 39 | On goal | 30 |
| 29 | High-danger | 14 |
| 10 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 17 | Missed | 11 |
| 17 | Blocked | 13 |
| 0.097 | xG per attempt | 0.069 |
| 31 ft | Avg shot distance | 28 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG97 of 127 attempts shown


