Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Buffalo Sabres 1@Carolina Hurricanes 2
2026-01-19BUF · CAR
CF%?
40.9%·59.1%
xGF%?
39.9%·60.1%
HDCF%?
56.5%·43.5%
5v5 xGF%?
44.0%·56.0%
5v5 CF%?
39.7%·60.3%
?
CAR wins ↑BUF wins ↓
BUF 47%Deserved to win?53% CAR
the game's chances, replayed · 2.36 xG vs 2.53 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
BUF 1@CAR 2
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-01-19 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickAndrei SvechnikovCAR · 1G · 1A · 0.11 ixG74
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickBrandon BussiCAR · 17 sv · 1 GA · GSAx +1.3271
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickUkko-Pekka LuukkonenBUF · 1 gv · 27 sv · 2 GA71BUF
1
Rasmus Dahlin672
Tage Thompson613
Zach Benson594
Jason Zucker585
Owen Power556
Jack Quinn557
Tyson Kozak548
Ryan McLeod549
Konsta Helenius5110
Beck Malenstyn5111
Mattias Samuelsson5112
Jacob Bryson4913
Noah Ostlund4814
Bowen Byram4715
Peyton Krebs4716
Josh Doan46
Rasmus Dahlin672Tage Thompson613Zach Benson594Jason Zucker585Owen Power556Jack Quinn557Tyson Kozak548Ryan McLeod549Konsta Helenius5110Beck Malenstyn5111Mattias Samuelsson5112Jacob Bryson4913Noah Ostlund4814Bowen Byram4715Peyton Krebs4716Josh Doan46Goalies
CAR
1Andrei Svechnikov742
Sebastian Aho703
Seth Jarvis694
Jordan Staal675
Sean Walker586
Nikolaj Ehlers577
Logan Stankoven568
Jalen Chatfield559
Alexander Nikishin5410
K'Andre Miller5411
William Carrier5312
Mark Jankowski5313
Eric Robinson5214
Alex Tuch5215
Taylor Hall5216
Jackson Blake5117
Jordan Martinook5118
Joel Nystrom5019
Zach Metsa5020
Jaccob Slavin46
Andrei Svechnikov742Sebastian Aho703Seth Jarvis694Jordan Staal675Sean Walker586Nikolaj Ehlers577Logan Stankoven568Jalen Chatfield559Alexander Nikishin5410K'Andre Miller5411William Carrier5312Mark Jankowski5313Eric Robinson5214Alex Tuch5215Taylor Hall5216Jackson Blake5117Jordan Martinook5118Joel Nystrom5019Zach Metsa5020Jaccob Slavin46Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 1 (3) | 0 (8) | 0 (7) | 1 |
| CAR | 1 (12) | 0 (8) | 1 (9) | 2 |
| BUF | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/3 | Power play | 1/4 |
| 25 | Hits | 23 |
| 6 | Blocked shots | 12 |
| 6 | Takeaways | 7 |
| 20 | Giveaways | 17 |
| 22 | Faceoff wins | 26 |
| BUF | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 2 |
| 2.94 | Expected goals | 4.42 |
| 2.15 | 5v5 xG | 2.74 |
| 0.36 | Power-play xG | 0.45 |
| 36 | Shot attempts | 52 |
| 18 | On goal | 29 |
| 13 | High-danger | 10 |
| 0 | Rebound chances | 2 |
| 12 | Missed | 11 |
| 6 | Blocked | 12 |
| 0.082 | xG per attempt | 0.085 |
| 26 ft | Avg shot distance | 34 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG70 of 88 attempts shown