Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Tampa Bay Lightning 4@Dallas Stars 1
2026-01-18TBL · DAL
CF%?
57.6%·42.4%
xGF%?
65.6%·34.4%
HDCF%?
56.3%·43.8%
5v5 xGF%?
66.5%·33.5%
5v5 CF%?
61.3%·38.7%
?
DAL wins ↑TBL wins ↓
TBL 61%Deserved to win?39% DAL
the game's chances, replayed · 2.98 xG vs 2.41 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
TBL 4@DAL 1
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-01-18 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickDominic JamesTBL · 1G · 1A · 0.28 ixG84
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickAndrei VasilevskiyTBL · 19 sv · 1 GA · GSAx +2.0981
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickJake GuentzelTBL · 1G · 1A · 0.50 ixG77TBL
1Dominic James842Jake Guentzel773
Brandon Hagel754
Charle-Edouard D'Astous745
Darren Raddysh706
Yanni Gourde697
Pontus Holmberg688
Nikita Kucherov679
J.J. Moser6610
Oliver Bjorkstrand6411
Anthony Cirelli5812
Gage Goncalves5313
Zemgus Girgensons5314
Erik Cernak5315
Declan Carlile5116
Jack Finley4917
Nick Paul4918
Max Crozier46
Dominic James842Jake Guentzel773Brandon Hagel754Charle-Edouard D'Astous745Darren Raddysh706Yanni Gourde697Pontus Holmberg688Nikita Kucherov679J.J. Moser6610Oliver Bjorkstrand6411Anthony Cirelli5812Gage Goncalves5313Zemgus Girgensons5314Erik Cernak5315Declan Carlile5116Jack Finley4917Nick Paul4918Max Crozier46Goalies
DAL
1
Oskar Bäck622
Nils Lundkvist613
Mavrik Bourque584
Justin Hryckowian575
Radek Faksa576
Roope Hintz567
Wyatt Johnston548
Mikko Rantanen539
Ilya Lyubushkin5010
Jason Robertson5011
Thomas Harley4912
Sam Steel4913
Colin Blackwell4914
Miro Heiskanen4815
Kyle Capobianco4716
Esa Lindell4717
Jamie Benn4518
Matt Duchene45
Oskar Bäck622Nils Lundkvist613Mavrik Bourque584Justin Hryckowian575Radek Faksa576Roope Hintz567Wyatt Johnston548Mikko Rantanen539Ilya Lyubushkin5010Jason Robertson5011Thomas Harley4912Sam Steel4913Colin Blackwell4914Miro Heiskanen4815Kyle Capobianco4716Esa Lindell4717Jamie Benn4518Matt Duchene45Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 1 (5) | 2 (15) | 1 (6) | 4 |
| DAL | 1 (9) | 0 (9) | 0 (2) | 1 |
| TBL | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/3 | Power play | 0/3 |
| 21 | Hits | 16 |
| 16 | Blocked shots | 16 |
| 6 | Takeaways | 3 |
| 17 | Giveaways | 13 |
| 19 | Faceoff wins | 29 |
| TBL | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 1 |
| 7.46 | Expected goals | 3.91 |
| 4.33 | 5v5 xG | 2.19 |
| 0.42 | Power-play xG | 1.12 |
| 57 | Shot attempts | 42 |
| 26 | On goal | 20 |
| 27 | High-danger | 21 |
| 7 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 15 | Missed | 6 |
| 16 | Blocked | 16 |
| 0.131 | xG per attempt | 0.093 |
| 29 ft | Avg shot distance | 30 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG67 of 99 attempts shown