Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Tampa Bay Lightning 2@St. Louis Blues 3
2026-01-16TBL · STL
CF%?
63.8%·36.2%
xGF%?
63.7%·36.3%
HDCF%?
69.6%·30.4%
5v5 xGF%?
64.1%·35.9%
5v5 CF%?
65.6%·34.4%
?
STL wins ↑TBL wins ↓
TBL 86%Deserved to win?14% STL
the game's chances, replayed · 3.70 xG vs 1.57 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
TBL 2@STL 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-01-16 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickNikita KucherovTBL · 1G · 1A · 0.35 ixG87
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickJoel HoferSTL · 1 gv · 34 sv · 2 GA76
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickDarren RaddyshTBL · 2A · 0.52 ixG · 3 blk70TBL
1Nikita Kucherov872Darren Raddysh703
Oliver Bjorkstrand674
Brandon Hagel675
Nick Paul616
Max Crozier577
J.J. Moser578
Anthony Cirelli569
Charle-Edouard D'Astous5510
Jake Guentzel5511
Declan Carlile5412
Pontus Holmberg5313
Jack Finley5214
Yanni Gourde5215
Zemgus Girgensons5216
Erik Cernak5117
Dominic James5118
Gage Goncalves47
Nikita Kucherov872Darren Raddysh703Oliver Bjorkstrand674Brandon Hagel675Nick Paul616Max Crozier577J.J. Moser578Anthony Cirelli569Charle-Edouard D'Astous5510Jake Guentzel5511Declan Carlile5412Pontus Holmberg5313Jack Finley5214Yanni Gourde5215Zemgus Girgensons5216Erik Cernak5117Dominic James5118Gage Goncalves47Goalies
STL
1
Nick Bjugstad682
Jake Neighbours643
Jordan Kyrou644
Pavel Buchnevich625
Oskar Sundqvist596
Tyler Tucker567
Jimmy Snuggerud548
Justin Faulk549
Colton Parayko5310
Brayden Schenn5211
Cam Fowler5212
Nathan Walker5213
Alexey Toropchenko5114
Dalibor Dvorsky5115
Jonatan Berggren5016
Philip Broberg4717
Otto Stenberg4718
Logan Mailloux45
Nick Bjugstad682Jake Neighbours643Jordan Kyrou644Pavel Buchnevich625Oskar Sundqvist596Tyler Tucker567Jimmy Snuggerud548Justin Faulk549Colton Parayko5310Brayden Schenn5211Cam Fowler5212Nathan Walker5213Alexey Toropchenko5114Dalibor Dvorsky5115Jonatan Berggren5016Philip Broberg4717Otto Stenberg4718Logan Mailloux45Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
2OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 0 (11) | 2 (15) | 0 (8) | 0 (2) | 2 |
| STL | 2 (7) | 0 (5) | 0 (5) | 0 (4) | 3 |
| TBL | STL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2/3 | Power play | 0/2 |
| 12 | Hits | 24 |
| 11 | Blocked shots | 10 |
| 3 | Takeaways | 8 |
| 18 | Giveaways | 12 |
| 35 | Faceoff wins | 30 |
| TBL | STL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals | 2 |
| 4.74 | Expected goals | 2.70 |
| 3.20 | 5v5 xG | 1.79 |
| 1.29 | Power-play xG | 0.24 |
| 74 | Shot attempts | 42 |
| 36 | On goal | 21 |
| 16 | High-danger | 7 |
| 4 | Rebound chances | 2 |
| 27 | Missed | 11 |
| 11 | Blocked | 10 |
| 0.064 | xG per attempt | 0.064 |
| 35 ft | Avg shot distance | 34 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG95 of 116 attempts shown