Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Florida Panthers 1@Carolina Hurricanes 9
2026-01-16FLA · CAR
CF%?
34.7%·65.3%
xGF%?
28.2%·71.8%
HDCF%?
25.0%·75.0%
5v5 xGF%?
22.1%·77.9%
5v5 CF%?
28.9%·71.1%
?
CAR wins ↑FLA wins ↓
FLA 11%Deserved to win?89% CAR
the game's chances, replayed · 1.81 xG vs 4.47 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
FLA 1@CAR 9
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-01-16 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickNikolaj EhlersCAR · 3G · 1A · 1.00 ixG99
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickSeth JarvisCAR · 2A · 0.42 ixG · 1 blk84
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickJordan StaalCAR · 1A · 0.44 ixG · 1 blk83FLA
1
Mackie Samoskevich642
Uvis Balinskis603
Sandis Vilmanis584
Evan Rodrigues555
Eetu Luostarinen546
Luke Kunin537
Jesper Boqvist528
Niko Mikkola519
Cole Schwindt5010
Aaron Ekblad5011
Carter Verhaeghe4812
Sam Reinhart4613
Sam Bennett4514
Jeff Petry4515
Donovan Sebrango4316
Anton Lundell4317
A.J. Greer4318
Gustav Forsling40
Mackie Samoskevich642Uvis Balinskis603Sandis Vilmanis584Evan Rodrigues555Eetu Luostarinen546Luke Kunin537Jesper Boqvist528Niko Mikkola519Cole Schwindt5010Aaron Ekblad5011Carter Verhaeghe4812Sam Reinhart4613Sam Bennett4514Jeff Petry4515Donovan Sebrango4316Anton Lundell4317A.J. Greer4318Gustav Forsling40Goalies
CAR
1Nikolaj Ehlers992Seth Jarvis843Jordan Staal834
Logan Stankoven835
Taylor Hall836
Mark Jankowski817
Andrei Svechnikov788
Jackson Blake759
Alexander Nikishin7410
Sebastian Aho7311
Eric Robinson6912
Jordan Martinook6913
Jesperi Kotkaniemi6714
Sean Walker6415
K'Andre Miller6116
Mike Reilly5317
Jaccob Slavin5318
Jalen Chatfield51
Nikolaj Ehlers992Seth Jarvis843Jordan Staal834Logan Stankoven835Taylor Hall836Mark Jankowski817Andrei Svechnikov788Jackson Blake759Alexander Nikishin7410Sebastian Aho7311Eric Robinson6912Jordan Martinook6913Jesperi Kotkaniemi6714Sean Walker6415K'Andre Miller6116Mike Reilly5317Jaccob Slavin5318Jalen Chatfield51Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 0 (3) | 1 (5) | 0 (8) | 1 |
| CAR | 1 (12) | 2 (11) | 6 (13) | 9 |
| FLA | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/8 | Power play | 4/8 |
| 19 | Hits | 30 |
| 8 | Blocked shots | 15 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 8 |
| 16 | Giveaways | 20 |
| 20 | Faceoff wins | 38 |
| FLA | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 9 |
| 2.38 | Expected goals | 6.06 |
| 1.32 | 5v5 xG | 4.65 |
| 0.89 | Power-play xG | 1.17 |
| 35 | Shot attempts | 66 |
| 16 | On goal | 36 |
| 8 | High-danger | 24 |
| 1 | Rebound chances | 5 |
| 11 | Missed | 15 |
| 8 | Blocked | 15 |
| 0.068 | xG per attempt | 0.092 |
| 33 ft | Avg shot distance | 29 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG78 of 101 attempts shown