Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Toronto Maple Leafs 5@Vegas Golden Knights 6
2026-01-15TOR · VGK
CF%?
46.6%·53.4%
xGF%?
46.6%·53.4%
HDCF%?
46.9%·53.1%
5v5 xGF%?
52.0%·48.0%
5v5 CF%?
50.0%·50.0%
?
VGK wins ↑TOR wins ↓
TOR 40%Deserved to win?60% VGK
the game's chances, replayed · 2.32 xG vs 2.81 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
TOR 5@VGK 6
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-01-15 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickJack EichelVGK · 1G · 3A · 0.29 ixG97
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickMark StoneVGK · 1G · 2A · 0.50 ixG88
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickTomas HertlVGK · 1G · 1A · 0.42 ixG82TOR
1
William Nylander742
Matthew Knies733
Auston Matthews734
Matias Maccelli725
John Tavares726
Scott Laughton707
Morgan Rielly708
Steven Lorentz659
Brandon Carlo6110
Troy Stecher5811
Philippe Myers5712
Bobby McMann5613
Oliver Ekman-Larsson5514
Jake McCabe5415
Nicolas Roy5116
Nicholas Robertson4817
Easton Cowan4818
Max Domi47
William Nylander742Matthew Knies733Auston Matthews734Matias Maccelli725John Tavares726Scott Laughton707Morgan Rielly708Steven Lorentz659Brandon Carlo6110Troy Stecher5811Philippe Myers5712Bobby McMann5613Oliver Ekman-Larsson5514Jake McCabe5415Nicolas Roy5116Nicholas Robertson4817Easton Cowan4818Max Domi47Goalies
VGK
1Jack Eichel972Mark Stone883Tomas Hertl824
Pavel Dorofeyev785
Mitch Marner766
Keegan Kolesar717
Noah Hanifin708
Braeden Bowman699
Ivan Barbashev6710
Shea Theodore5511
Jeremy Lauzon5412
Zach Whitecloud5013
Ben Hutton5014
Cole Reinhardt4915
Alexander Holtz4816
Tanner Laczynski4717
Reilly Smith4618
Kaedan Korczak46
Jack Eichel972Mark Stone883Tomas Hertl824Pavel Dorofeyev785Mitch Marner766Keegan Kolesar717Noah Hanifin708Braeden Bowman699Ivan Barbashev6710Shea Theodore5511Jeremy Lauzon5412Zach Whitecloud5013Ben Hutton5014Cole Reinhardt4915Alexander Holtz4816Tanner Laczynski4717Reilly Smith4618Kaedan Korczak46Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 3 (15) | 1 (7) | 1 (6) | 0 (0) | 5 |
| VGK | 1 (10) | 1 (9) | 3 (13) | 1 (1) | 6 |
| TOR | VGK | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/1 | Power play | 3/3 |
| 17 | Hits | 18 |
| 15 | Blocked shots | 15 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 18 | Giveaways | 13 |
| 43 | Faceoff wins | 26 |
| TOR | VGK | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Goals | 6 |
| 3.82 | Expected goals | 4.37 |
| 3.36 | 5v5 xG | 3.10 |
| 0.28 | Power-play xG | 1.02 |
| 55 | Shot attempts | 63 |
| 28 | On goal | 33 |
| 15 | High-danger | 17 |
| 0 | Rebound chances | 4 |
| 12 | Missed | 15 |
| 15 | Blocked | 15 |
| 0.069 | xG per attempt | 0.069 |
| 34 ft | Avg shot distance | 35 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG88 of 118 attempts shown