Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Montréal Canadiens 3@Buffalo Sabres 5
2026-01-15MTL · BUF
CF%?
43.0%·57.0%
xGF%?
38.2%·61.8%
HDCF%?
48.0%·52.0%
5v5 xGF%?
48.4%·51.6%
5v5 CF%?
45.3%·54.7%
?
BUF wins ↑MTL wins ↓
MTL 58%Deserved to win?42% BUF
the game's chances, replayed · 2.77 xG vs 2.35 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
MTL 3@BUF 5
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-01-15 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickTage ThompsonBUF · 3G · 2A · 1.10 ixG99
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickJosh DoanBUF · 1G · 1A · 0.14 ixG83
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickNick SuzukiMTL · 1G · 1A · 0.24 ixG77MTL
1Nick Suzuki772
Cole Caufield733
Lane Hutson704
Noah Dobson685
Ivan Demidov646
Sammy Blais627
Oliver Kapanen588
Alexandre Texier579
Brendan Gallagher5710
Zachary Bolduc5611
Joe Veleno5612
Arber Xhekaj5513
Alexandre Carrier5514
Kaiden Guhle5115
Juraj Slafkovský5016
Josh Anderson4917
Mike Matheson4718
Phillip Danault42
Nick Suzuki772Cole Caufield733Lane Hutson704Noah Dobson685Ivan Demidov646Sammy Blais627Oliver Kapanen588Alexandre Texier579Brendan Gallagher5710Zachary Bolduc5611Joe Veleno5612Arber Xhekaj5513Alexandre Carrier5514Kaiden Guhle5115Juraj Slafkovský5016Josh Anderson4917Mike Matheson4718Phillip Danault42Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 2 (7) | 1 (8) | 0 (8) | 3 |
| BUF | 2 (12) | 1 (10) | 2 (5) | 5 |
| MTL | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 2/5 | Power play | 2/6 |
| 26 | Hits | 21 |
| 7 | Blocked shots | 18 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 6 |
| 14 | Giveaways | 15 |
| 33 | Faceoff wins | 23 |
| MTL | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 5 |
| 3.52 | Expected goals | 5.69 |
| 2.56 | 5v5 xG | 2.72 |
| 0.68 | Power-play xG | 0.87 |
| 43 | Shot attempts | 57 |
| 23 | On goal | 27 |
| 12 | High-danger | 13 |
| 3 | Rebound chances | 1 |
| 13 | Missed | 12 |
| 7 | Blocked | 18 |
| 0.082 | xG per attempt | 0.100 |
| 29 ft | Avg shot distance | 37 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG75 of 100 attempts shown