Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Tampa Bay Lightning 2@Pittsburgh Penguins 1
TBL · PIT
CF%?
54.0%·46.0%
xGF%?
50.6%·49.4%
HDCF%?
48.6%·51.4%
5v5 xGF%?
63.1%·36.9%
5v5 CF%?
59.3%·40.7%
?
PIT wins ↑TBL wins ↓
TBL 35%Deserved to win?65% PIT
the game's chances, replayed · 2.59 xG vs 3.44 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailableTBL 2@PIT 1
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-01-13 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickAndrei VasilevskiyTBL · 26 sv · 1 GA · GSAx +2.2285
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickArturs SilovsPIT · 30 sv · 1 GA · GSAx +1.8181
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickEvgeni MalkinPIT · 1G · 0.60 ixG · 1 blk70TBL
1
J.J. Moser632
Zemgus Girgensons603
Yanni Gourde594
Jake Guentzel575
Jack Finley576
Brandon Hagel567
Charle-Edouard D'Astous568
Gage Goncalves539
Oliver Bjorkstrand5210
Anthony Cirelli5211
Darren Raddysh5112
Declan Carlile5113
Dominic James5114
Erik Cernak5015
Nick Paul4816
Pontus Holmberg4817
Nikita Kucherov48
J.J. Moser632
Zemgus Girgensons603
Yanni Gourde594
Jake Guentzel575
Jack Finley576
Brandon Hagel567
Charle-Edouard D'Astous568
Gage Goncalves539
Oliver Bjorkstrand5210
Anthony Cirelli5211
Darren Raddysh5112
Declan Carlile5113
Dominic James5114
Erik Cernak5015
Nick Paul4816
Pontus Holmberg4817
Nikita Kucherov48Goalies
PIT
1
Evgeni Malkin702
Bryan Rust613
Rickard Rakell614
Kris Letang595
Ben Kindel586
Noel Acciari567
Sidney Crosby568
Ryan Shea559
Tommy Novak5510
Egor Chinakhov5411
Parker Wotherspoon5312
Connor Dewar5213
Connor Clifton5214
Brett Kulak5215
Justin Brazeau5216
Anthony Mantha5117
Blake Lizotte4918
Jack St. Ivany45
Evgeni Malkin702
Bryan Rust613
Rickard Rakell614
Kris Letang595
Ben Kindel586
Noel Acciari567
Sidney Crosby568
Ryan Shea559
Tommy Novak5510
Egor Chinakhov5411
Parker Wotherspoon5312
Connor Dewar5213
Connor Clifton5214
Brett Kulak5215
Justin Brazeau5216
Anthony Mantha5117
Blake Lizotte4918
Jack St. Ivany45Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 3
2OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 0 (10) | 0 (9) | 1 (11) | 0 (1) | 2 |
| PIT | 0 (8) | 0 (9) | 1 (6) | 0 (4) | 1 |
| TBL | PIT | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/4 | Power play | 1/5 |
| 15 | Hits | 13 |
| 16 | Blocked shots | 9 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 9 |
| 18 | Giveaways | 15 |
| 19 | Faceoff wins | 25 |
| TBL | PIT | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 1 |
| 4.17 | Expected goals | 4.07 |
| 2.95 | 5v5 xG | 1.72 |
| 0.81 | Power-play xG | 1.28 |
| 61 | Shot attempts | 52 |
| 31 | On goal | 27 |
| 18 | High-danger | 19 |
| 2 | Rebound chances | 2 |
| 14 | Missed | 16 |
| 16 | Blocked | 9 |
| 0.068 | xG per attempt | 0.078 |
| 33 ft | Avg shot distance | 30 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG88 of 113 attempts shown