Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Toronto Maple Leafs 4@Colorado Avalanche 3
2026-01-12TOR · COL
CF%?
43.2%·56.8%
xGF%?
39.2%·60.8%
HDCF%?
27.0%·73.0%
5v5 xGF%?
37.1%·62.9%
5v5 CF%?
40.8%·59.2%
?
COL wins ↑TOR wins ↓
TOR 33%Deserved to win?67% COL
the game's chances, replayed · 2.35 xG vs 3.27 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
TOR 4@COL 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-01-12 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickNathan MacKinnonCOL · 3A · 0.45 ixG · 1 tk82
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickAuston MatthewsTOR · 1G · 1A · 0.27 ixG81
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickMartin NecasCOL · 1G · 1A · 0.69 ixG81TOR
1Auston Matthews812
William Nylander783
Oliver Ekman-Larsson704
Bobby McMann655
Brandon Carlo636
John Tavares617
Easton Cowan618
Jake McCabe579
Matthew Knies5610
Steven Lorentz5511
Simon Benoit5412
Matias Maccelli5413
Zakhar Bardakov5314
Troy Stecher5215
Morgan Rielly5216
Scott Laughton5017
Max Domi4818
Nicolas Roy45
Auston Matthews812William Nylander783Oliver Ekman-Larsson704Bobby McMann655Brandon Carlo636John Tavares617Easton Cowan618Jake McCabe579Matthew Knies5610Steven Lorentz5511Simon Benoit5412Matias Maccelli5413Zakhar Bardakov5314Troy Stecher5215Morgan Rielly5216Scott Laughton5017Max Domi4818Nicolas Roy45Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 1 (15) | 1 (9) | 1 (5) | 1 (3) | 4 |
| COL | 2 (13) | 0 (7) | 1 (12) | 0 (2) | 3 |
| TOR | COL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/3 | Power play | 1/4 |
| 13 | Hits | 14 |
| 12 | Blocked shots | 25 |
| 8 | Takeaways | 3 |
| 15 | Giveaways | 22 |
| 28 | Faceoff wins | 27 |
| TOR | COL | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 3 |
| 3.58 | Expected goals | 5.55 |
| 2.52 | 5v5 xG | 4.27 |
| 0.50 | Power-play xG | 0.68 |
| 54 | Shot attempts | 71 |
| 32 | On goal | 34 |
| 10 | High-danger | 27 |
| 2 | Rebound chances | 2 |
| 10 | Missed | 12 |
| 12 | Blocked | 25 |
| 0.066 | xG per attempt | 0.078 |
| 32 ft | Avg shot distance | 33 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG88 of 125 attempts shown