Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Florida Panthers 4@Buffalo Sabres 3
2026-01-12FLA · BUF
CF%?
55.1%·44.9%
xGF%?
62.6%·37.4%
HDCF%?
62.1%·37.9%
5v5 xGF%?
60.3%·39.7%
5v5 CF%?
57.3%·42.7%
?
BUF wins ↑FLA wins ↓
FLA 59%Deserved to win?41% BUF
the game's chances, replayed · 2.73 xG vs 2.29 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
FLA 4@BUF 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-01-12 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickCarter VerhaegheFLA · 3A · 0.24 ixG · 2 blk89
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickA.J. GreerFLA · 2G · 0.51 ixG · 1 hits79
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickTage ThompsonBUF · 1A · 0.53 ixG · 2 blk79FLA
1Carter Verhaeghe892A.J. Greer793
Sam Bennett734
Anton Lundell735
Sam Reinhart716
Eetu Luostarinen687
Evan Rodrigues598
Uvis Balinskis599
Sandis Vilmanis5610
Luke Kunin5511
Gustav Forsling5412
Niko Mikkola5313
Mackie Samoskevich5314
Aaron Ekblad5215
Donovan Sebrango5016
Jeff Petry49
Carter Verhaeghe892A.J. Greer793Sam Bennett734Anton Lundell735Sam Reinhart716Eetu Luostarinen687Evan Rodrigues598Uvis Balinskis599Sandis Vilmanis5610Luke Kunin5511Gustav Forsling5412Niko Mikkola5313Mackie Samoskevich5314Aaron Ekblad5215Donovan Sebrango5016Jeff Petry49Goalies
BUF
1Tage Thompson792
Ryan McLeod663
Jacob Bryson634
Zach Metsa635
Zach Benson626
Rasmus Dahlin617
Alex Tuch598
Mattias Samuelsson569
Bowen Byram5610
Josh Norris5511
Josh Dunne5412
Josh Doan5313
Jack Quinn5214
Jason Zucker5215
Jack Studnicka5216
Jesper Boqvist5217
Jordan Greenway5118
Beck Malenstyn5119
Owen Power4920
Peyton Krebs49
Tage Thompson792Ryan McLeod663Jacob Bryson634Zach Metsa635Zach Benson626Rasmus Dahlin617Alex Tuch598Mattias Samuelsson569Bowen Byram5610Josh Norris5511Josh Dunne5412Josh Doan5313Jack Quinn5214Jason Zucker5215Jack Studnicka5216Jesper Boqvist5217Jordan Greenway5118Beck Malenstyn5119Owen Power4920Peyton Krebs49Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 2 (11) | 0 (9) | 2 (12) | 4 |
| BUF | 1 (7) | 1 (10) | 1 (6) | 3 |
| FLA | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/2 | Power play | 1/3 |
| 18 | Hits | 22 |
| 20 | Blocked shots | 14 |
| 6 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 12 | Giveaways | 24 |
| 29 | Faceoff wins | 31 |
| FLA | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 3 |
| 5.32 | Expected goals | 3.17 |
| 3.75 | 5v5 xG | 2.47 |
| 0.30 | Power-play xG | 0.71 |
| 70 | Shot attempts | 57 |
| 32 | On goal | 23 |
| 18 | High-danger | 11 |
| 5 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 18 | Missed | 20 |
| 20 | Blocked | 14 |
| 0.076 | xG per attempt | 0.056 |
| 34 ft | Avg shot distance | 38 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG93 of 127 attempts shown