Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Toronto Maple Leafs 3@New York Islanders 4
2026-01-03TOR · NYI
CF%?
48.2%·51.8%
xGF%?
54.6%·45.4%
HDCF%?
51.6%·48.4%
5v5 xGF%?
57.6%·42.4%
5v5 CF%?
49.0%·51.0%
?
NYI wins ↑TOR wins ↓
TOR 55%Deserved to win?45% NYI
the game's chances, replayed · 2.74 xG vs 2.48 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
TOR 3@NYI 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-01-03 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickAuston MatthewsTOR · 2G · 0.57 ixG · 3 blk83
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickMatthew SchaeferNYI · 2G · 0.38 ixG · 1 blk82
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickMathew BarzalNYI · 2A · 0.27 ixG · 1 blk82TOR
1Auston Matthews832
Nicolas Roy653
Bobby McMann634
Nicholas Robertson615
Scott Laughton596
Simon Benoit567
Jake McCabe568
Max Domi569
Troy Stecher5310
John Tavares5311
Matt Benning5212
Easton Cowan5213
Steven Lorentz5214
Matthew Knies5115
Oliver Ekman-Larsson5016
Morgan Rielly4817
Matias Maccelli47
Auston Matthews832Nicolas Roy653Bobby McMann634Nicholas Robertson615Scott Laughton596Simon Benoit567Jake McCabe568Max Domi569Troy Stecher5310John Tavares5311Matt Benning5212Easton Cowan5213Steven Lorentz5214Matthew Knies5115Oliver Ekman-Larsson5016Morgan Rielly4817Matias Maccelli47Goalies
NYI
1Matthew Schaefer822Mathew Barzal823
Jonathan Drouin744
Emil Heineman695
Adam Pelech676
Jean-Gabriel Pageau637
Scott Mayfield598
Marc Gatcomb569
Tony DeAngelo5610
Simon Holmstrom5511
Casey Cizikas5312
Ryan Pulock5313
Kyle MacLean5114
Calum Ritchie5015
Max Shabanov5016
Cole McWard5017
Anders Lee4918
Maxim Tsyplakov49
Matthew Schaefer822Mathew Barzal823Jonathan Drouin744Emil Heineman695Adam Pelech676Jean-Gabriel Pageau637Scott Mayfield598Marc Gatcomb569Tony DeAngelo5610Simon Holmstrom5511Casey Cizikas5312Ryan Pulock5313Kyle MacLean5114Calum Ritchie5015Max Shabanov5016Cole McWard5017Anders Lee4918Maxim Tsyplakov49Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 2
Period 3
OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 0 (7) | 2 (11) | 1 (3) | 0 (0) | 3 |
| NYI | 0 (7) | 1 (6) | 2 (10) | 1 (2) | 4 |
| TOR | NYI | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/2 | Power play | 0/2 |
| 19 | Hits | 21 |
| 15 | Blocked shots | 13 |
| 2 | Takeaways | 6 |
| 19 | Giveaways | 17 |
| 32 | Faceoff wins | 24 |
| TOR | NYI | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 4 |
| 4.42 | Expected goals | 3.67 |
| 3.82 | 5v5 xG | 2.81 |
| 0.23 | Power-play xG | 0.32 |
| 54 | Shot attempts | 58 |
| 21 | On goal | 25 |
| 16 | High-danger | 15 |
| 1 | Rebound chances | 2 |
| 18 | Missed | 20 |
| 15 | Blocked | 13 |
| 0.082 | xG per attempt | 0.063 |
| 32 ft | Avg shot distance | 32 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG84 of 112 attempts shown