Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Tampa Bay Lightning 7@San Jose Sharks 3
2026-01-03TBL · SJS
CF%?
56.6%·43.4%
xGF%?
58.6%·41.4%
HDCF%?
63.0%·37.0%
5v5 xGF%?
64.9%·35.1%
5v5 CF%?
61.4%·38.6%
?
SJS wins ↑TBL wins ↓
TBL 65%Deserved to win?35% SJS
the game's chances, replayed · 3.57 xG vs 2.72 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
TBL 7@SJS 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-01-03 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickNikita KucherovTBL · 1G · 4A · 0.42 ixG99
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickPavol RegendaSJS · 3G · 0.83 ixG · 1 tk94
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickDarren RaddyshTBL · 3G · 0.19 ixG · 1 blk91TBL
1Nikita Kucherov992Darren Raddysh913
Brayden Point824
Oliver Bjorkstrand755
Jake Guentzel726
Brandon Hagel667
Charle-Edouard D'Astous628
Dominic James629
Max Crozier6110
Nick Paul6011
Gage Goncalves5512
J.J. Moser5513
Yanni Gourde5414
Zemgus Girgensons5415
Declan Carlile5316
Shakir Mukhamadullin5217
Anthony Cirelli5018
Pontus Holmberg4719
Erik Cernak44
Nikita Kucherov992Darren Raddysh913Brayden Point824Oliver Bjorkstrand755Jake Guentzel726Brandon Hagel667Charle-Edouard D'Astous628Dominic James629Max Crozier6110Nick Paul6011Gage Goncalves5512J.J. Moser5513Yanni Gourde5414Zemgus Girgensons5415Declan Carlile5316Shakir Mukhamadullin5217Anthony Cirelli5018Pontus Holmberg4719Erik Cernak44Goalies
SJS
1Pavol Regenda942
Jeff Skinner763
Timothy Liljegren724
Macklin Celebrini715
Barclay Goodrow576
Vincent Iorio577
Ty Dellandrea558
Zack Ostapchuk559
William Eklund5310
Mario Ferraro5311
Collin Graf5312
Tyler Toffoli5213
Igor Chernyshov5214
Dmitry Orlov5215
Ryan Reaves5116
Alexander Wennberg5017
Sam Dickinson47
Pavol Regenda942Jeff Skinner763Timothy Liljegren724Macklin Celebrini715Barclay Goodrow576Vincent Iorio577Ty Dellandrea558Zack Ostapchuk559William Eklund5310Mario Ferraro5311Collin Graf5312Tyler Toffoli5213Igor Chernyshov5214Dmitry Orlov5215Ryan Reaves5116Alexander Wennberg5017Sam Dickinson47Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 3 (14) | 4 (6) | 0 (6) | 7 |
| SJS | 1 (9) | 1 (5) | 1 (8) | 3 |
| TBL | SJS | |
|---|---|---|
| 3/10 | Power play | 1/8 |
| 8 | Hits | 23 |
| 18 | Blocked shots | 9 |
| 2 | Takeaways | 7 |
| 19 | Giveaways | 13 |
| 26 | Faceoff wins | 33 |
| TBL | SJS | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Goals | 3 |
| 5.48 | Expected goals | 3.87 |
| 4.50 | 5v5 xG | 2.43 |
| 0.98 | Power-play xG | 1.30 |
| 60 | Shot attempts | 46 |
| 26 | On goal | 22 |
| 29 | High-danger | 17 |
| 4 | Rebound chances | 4 |
| 16 | Missed | 15 |
| 18 | Blocked | 9 |
| 0.091 | xG per attempt | 0.084 |
| 27 ft | Avg shot distance | 25 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG79 of 106 attempts shown