Game Lab

Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays

Game date

Philadelphia Flyers 5@Edmonton Oilers 2

2026-01-03

PHI · EDM

CF%?

56.4%·43.6%

xGF%?

59.6%·40.4%

HDCF%?

48.5%·51.5%

5v5 xGF%?

53.3%·46.7%

5v5 CF%?

54.6%·45.4%

EDM wins ↑PHI wins ↓

PHI 47%Deserved to win?53% EDM

the game's chances, replayed · 2.71 xG vs 2.88 xG

The Impact Report?

every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable

PHI 5@EDM 2

The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com

2026-01-03 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale

★ 1st star · our model’s pickConnor McDavidEDM · 1G · 1A · 0.69 ixG85

★ 2nd star · our model’s pickSean CouturierPHI · 2A · 0.92 ixG · 1 blk84

★ 3rd star · our model’s pickOwen TippettPHI · 1G · 1A · 0.96 ixG79

ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha

Box score

Period 1

7:16

Denver Barkey from Owen Tippett, Sean Couturier

10:31

Travis Sanheim

14:38

Bobby Brink from Cam York, Matvei Michkov

16:08

Connor McDavid from Mattias Ekholm

Period 2

9:54

Evan Bouchard from Connor McDavid, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Period 3

9:09

Nick Seeler from Rodrigo Abols

18:50

Owen Tippett from Sean Couturier, Nick Seeler

Goals (SOG)	1	2	3	T
PHI	3 (9)	0 (11)	2 (9)	5
EDM	1 (14)	1 (5)	0 (6)	2

PHI		EDM
0/3	Power play	1/4
15	Hits	12
20	Blocked shots	15
3	Takeaways	5
12	Giveaways	15
36	Faceoff wins	25

PHI		EDM
5	Goals	2
6.54	Expected goals	4.43
3.88	5v5 xG	3.40
0.87	Power-play xG	0.96
66	Shot attempts	51
29	On goal	25
16	High-danger	17
2	Rebound chances	4
17	Missed	11
20	Blocked	15
0.099	xG per attempt	0.087
32 ft	Avg shot distance	30 ft

Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.

GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG82 of 117 attempts shown