Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Buffalo Sabres 1@Columbus Blue Jackets 5
2026-01-03BUF · CBJ
CF%?
55.1%·44.9%
xGF%?
54.3%·45.7%
HDCF%?
48.6%·51.4%
5v5 xGF%?
50.4%·49.6%
5v5 CF%?
50.0%·50.0%
?
CBJ wins ↑BUF wins ↓
BUF 79%Deserved to win?21% CBJ
the game's chances, replayed · 4.96 xG vs 2.96 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
BUF 1@CBJ 5
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-01-03 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickJet GreavesCBJ · 0.20 ixG · 32 sv · 1 GA99
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickBrendan GaunceCBJ · 1G · 0.19 ixG · 3 blk76
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickJosh NorrisBUF · 1A · 0.62 ixG · 2 blk73BUF
1Josh Norris732
Tage Thompson643
Josh Doan644
Rasmus Dahlin625
Alex Tuch596
Zach Benson577
Josh Dunne568
Owen Power559
Ryan McLeod5410
Noah Ostlund5411
Peyton Krebs5312
Mattias Samuelsson5213
Beck Malenstyn5114
Jack Quinn5015
Zach Metsa4916
Jacob Bryson4817
Jordan Greenway4818
Bowen Byram47
Josh Norris732Tage Thompson643Josh Doan644Rasmus Dahlin625Alex Tuch596Zach Benson577Josh Dunne568Owen Power559Ryan McLeod5410Noah Ostlund5411Peyton Krebs5312Mattias Samuelsson5213Beck Malenstyn5114Jack Quinn5015Zach Metsa4916Jacob Bryson4817Jordan Greenway4818Bowen Byram47Goalies
CBJ
1Brendan Gaunce762
Denton Mateychuk723
Cole Sillinger714
Zach Werenski695
Boone Jenner686
Zachary Aston-Reese687
Dmitri Voronkov658
Damon Severson649
Mathieu Olivier6210
Charlie Coyle6011
Ivan Provorov5912
Adam Fantilli5613
Mason Marchment5314
Jake Christiansen5215
Kent Johnson5116
Danton Heinen5117
Kirill Marchenko5018
Dante Fabbro48
Brendan Gaunce762Denton Mateychuk723Cole Sillinger714Zach Werenski695Boone Jenner686Zachary Aston-Reese687Dmitri Voronkov658Damon Severson649Mathieu Olivier6210Charlie Coyle6011Ivan Provorov5912Adam Fantilli5613Mason Marchment5314Jake Christiansen5215Kent Johnson5116Danton Heinen5117Kirill Marchenko5018Dante Fabbro48Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 1 (10) | 0 (11) | 0 (12) | 1 |
| CBJ | 3 (13) | 1 (14) | 1 (8) | 5 |
| BUF | CBJ | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/7 | Power play | 0/3 |
| 15 | Hits | 23 |
| 15 | Blocked shots | 17 |
| 2 | Takeaways | 5 |
| 21 | Giveaways | 14 |
| 31 | Faceoff wins | 28 |
| BUF | CBJ | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 5 |
| 6.38 | Expected goals | 5.38 |
| 4.10 | 5v5 xG | 4.04 |
| 2.12 | Power-play xG | 0.39 |
| 81 | Shot attempts | 66 |
| 33 | On goal | 35 |
| 18 | High-danger | 19 |
| 0 | Rebound chances | 4 |
| 33 | Missed | 14 |
| 15 | Blocked | 17 |
| 0.079 | xG per attempt | 0.082 |
| 32 ft | Avg shot distance | 30 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG115 of 147 attempts shown