HockeyAlpha

Game Lab

Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays

Winnipeg Jets 5@Toronto Maple Leafs 6

2026-01-01
WPG · TOR

CF%?

54.1%·45.9%

xGF%?

55.2%·44.8%

HDCF%?

62.2%·37.8%

5v5 xGF%?

46.5%·53.5%

5v5 CF%?

50.0%·50.0%

?
TOR wins ↑WPG wins ↓
WPG 62%Deserved to win?38% TOR

the game's chances, replayed · 3.19 xG vs 2.52 xG

The Impact Report?

every skater, rated by our model

WPG 5@TOR 6

The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com

2026-01-01 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale

★ 1st star · our model’s pickAuston MatthewsTOR · 3G · 1A · 0.55 ixG99★ 2nd star · our model’s pickMark ScheifeleWPG · 2G · 1A · 0.57 ixG99★ 3rd star · our model’s pickGabriel VilardiWPG · 1G · 1A · 0.64 ixG80

WPG

1Mark Scheifele992Gabriel Vilardi803Alex Iafallo744Adam Lowry695Dylan DeMelo646Jonathan Toews637Kyle Connor618Morgan Barron609Gustav Nyquist6010Neal Pionk6011Josh Morrissey5912Cole Perfetti5913Colin Miller5714Cole Koepke5515Vladislav Namestnikov5416Simon Benoit5317Tanner Pearson4818Logan Stanley4519Dylan Samberg42

Goalies

1Eric Comrie40

TOR

1Auston Matthews992Matthew Knies763Matias Maccelli734Max Domi655Bobby McMann656Morgan Rielly647Scott Laughton648Troy Stecher629John Tavares6210Oliver Ekman-Larsson6111Nicholas Robertson5812Easton Cowan5613Nicolas Roy5614Jake McCabe5515Steven Lorentz5116Philippe Myers5117Calle Jarnkrok50

Goalies

1Dennis Hildeby662Joseph Woll40
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha

Box score

Period 1

14:09WPG

Gabriel Vilardi from Mark Scheifele, Kyle Connor

17:38WPG

Dylan DeMelo from Adam Lowry, Morgan Barron

Period 2

1:34TOR

Auston Matthews from Max Domi, Oliver Ekman-Larsson

2:11WPG

Alex Iafallo from Jonathan Toews, Cole Perfetti

5:24WPG

Mark Scheifele from Gabriel Vilardi, Neal Pionk

11:04TOR

Oliver Ekman-Larsson from Scott Laughton

19:57TOR

Auston Matthews from Morgan Rielly, Matias Maccelli

PP

Period 3

6:30TOR

Matias Maccelli from Matthew Knies, John Tavares

8:50WPG

Mark Scheifele from Josh Morrissey, Gustav Nyquist

PP
13:13TOR

Troy Stecher from Bobby McMann, Auston Matthews

15:38TOR

Auston Matthews

Goals (SOG)123T
WPG2 (11)2 (17)1 (12)5
TOR0 (7)3 (12)3 (11)6
WPGTOR
1/2Power play1/1
17Hits23
13Blocked shots14
4Takeaways6
14Giveaways15
25Faceoff wins25
WPGTOR
5Goals6
4.66Expected goals3.78
2.975v5 xG3.41
1.62Power-play xG0.25
66Shot attempts56
40On goal30
23High-danger14
2Rebound chances2
13Missed12
13Blocked14
0.071xG per attempt0.067
35 ftAvg shot distance31 ft

Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.

WPG attackingTOR attacking
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG95 of 122 attempts shown