Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Buffalo Sabres 4@Dallas Stars 1
2025-12-31BUF · DAL
CF%?
55.1%·44.9%
xGF%?
52.3%·47.7%
HDCF%?
48.5%·51.5%
5v5 xGF%?
51.9%·48.1%
5v5 CF%?
54.6%·45.4%
?
DAL wins ↑BUF wins ↓
BUF 49%Deserved to win?51% DAL
the game's chances, replayed · 3.34 xG vs 3.40 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
BUF 4@DAL 1
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-31 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickTage ThompsonBUF · 2G · 1A · 0.90 ixG97
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickUkko-Pekka LuukkonenBUF · 1 gv · 28 sv · 1 GA86
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickJosh DoanBUF · 1G · 1A · 0.47 ixG80BUF
1Tage Thompson972Josh Doan803
Bowen Byram784
Noah Ostlund685
Josh Dunne636
Owen Power627
Rasmus Dahlin608
Beck Malenstyn599
Alex Tuch5810
Jordan Greenway5611
Peyton Krebs5612
Jack Quinn5313
Zach Benson5214
Justin Hryckowian5015
Ryan McLeod4916
Michael Kesselring4917
Zach Metsa4718
Josh Norris4719
Mattias Samuelsson47
Tage Thompson972Josh Doan803Bowen Byram784Noah Ostlund685Josh Dunne636Owen Power627Rasmus Dahlin608Beck Malenstyn599Alex Tuch5810Jordan Greenway5611Peyton Krebs5612Jack Quinn5313Zach Benson5214Justin Hryckowian5015Ryan McLeod4916Michael Kesselring4917Zach Metsa4718Josh Norris4719Mattias Samuelsson47Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 0 (14) | 2 (11) | 2 (6) | 4 |
| DAL | 1 (14) | 0 (8) | 0 (7) | 1 |
| BUF | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/2 | Power play | 0/2 |
| 24 | Hits | 15 |
| 13 | Blocked shots | 10 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 3 |
| 14 | Giveaways | 12 |
| 28 | Faceoff wins | 20 |
| BUF | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 1 |
| 4.70 | Expected goals | 4.28 |
| 3.96 | 5v5 xG | 3.68 |
| 0.74 | Power-play xG | 0.23 |
| 59 | Shot attempts | 48 |
| 31 | On goal | 29 |
| 16 | High-danger | 17 |
| 9 | Rebound chances | 5 |
| 15 | Missed | 9 |
| 13 | Blocked | 10 |
| 0.080 | xG per attempt | 0.089 |
| 30 ft | Avg shot distance | 31 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG84 of 107 attempts shown