Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Carolina Hurricanes 1@Pittsburgh Penguins 5
2025-12-30CAR · PIT
CF%?
51.2%·48.8%
xGF%?
47.6%·52.4%
HDCF%?
44.1%·55.9%
5v5 xGF%?
48.6%·51.4%
5v5 CF%?
52.1%·47.9%
?
PIT wins ↑CAR wins ↓
CAR 38%Deserved to win?62% PIT
the game's chances, replayed · 2.28 xG vs 2.90 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
CAR 1@PIT 5
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-30 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickJustin BrazeauPIT · 1G · 1A · 0.40 ixG84
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickAnthony ManthaPIT · 2G · 0.38 ixG · on-ice +0.48 xG80
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickSidney CrosbyPIT · 1G · 0.42 ixG · 2 blk78CAR
1
Mark Jankowski642
Joel Nystrom633
Mike Reilly624
Jordan Staal565
Eric Robinson566
Sean Walker567
Jesperi Kotkaniemi558
Jalen Chatfield559
Logan Stankoven5310
K'Andre Miller5211
Taylor Hall5112
Jordan Martinook5113
Sebastian Aho5014
William Carrier5015
Jackson Blake4916
Alexander Nikishin4717
Nikolaj Ehlers4718
Andrei Svechnikov47
Mark Jankowski642Joel Nystrom633Mike Reilly624Jordan Staal565Eric Robinson566Sean Walker567Jesperi Kotkaniemi558Jalen Chatfield559Logan Stankoven5310K'Andre Miller5211Taylor Hall5112Jordan Martinook5113Sebastian Aho5014William Carrier5015Jackson Blake4916Alexander Nikishin4717Nikolaj Ehlers4718Andrei Svechnikov47Goalies
PIT
1Justin Brazeau842Anthony Mantha803Sidney Crosby784
Tommy Novak785
Erik Karlsson746
Bryan Rust717
Parker Wotherspoon678
Rickard Rakell639
Connor Dewar6010
Noel Acciari6011
Blake Lizotte5512
Jack St. Ivany5513
Ville Koivunen5414
Brett Kulak5215
Ryan Shea5116
Ben Kindel5017
Rutger McGroarty4918
Kris Letang44
Justin Brazeau842Anthony Mantha803Sidney Crosby784Tommy Novak785Erik Karlsson746Bryan Rust717Parker Wotherspoon678Rickard Rakell639Connor Dewar6010Noel Acciari6011Blake Lizotte5512Jack St. Ivany5513Ville Koivunen5414Brett Kulak5215Ryan Shea5116Ben Kindel5017Rutger McGroarty4918Kris Letang44Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | 0 (10) | 1 (10) | 0 (8) | 1 |
| PIT | 3 (13) | 2 (8) | 0 (7) | 5 |
| CAR | PIT | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/0 | Power play | 1/2 |
| 21 | Hits | 15 |
| 22 | Blocked shots | 16 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 7 |
| 21 | Giveaways | 15 |
| 26 | Faceoff wins | 29 |
| CAR | PIT | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 5 |
| 3.75 | Expected goals | 4.12 |
| 3.51 | 5v5 xG | 3.71 |
| 0.00 | Power-play xG | 0.41 |
| 64 | Shot attempts | 61 |
| 28 | On goal | 28 |
| 15 | High-danger | 19 |
| 4 | Rebound chances | 2 |
| 14 | Missed | 17 |
| 22 | Blocked | 16 |
| 0.059 | xG per attempt | 0.068 |
| 34 ft | Avg shot distance | 31 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG87 of 125 attempts shown