Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Buffalo Sabres 4@St. Louis Blues 2
2025-12-29BUF · STL
CF%?
64.2%·35.8%
xGF%?
69.4%·30.6%
HDCF%?
65.2%·34.8%
5v5 xGF%?
65.9%·34.1%
5v5 CF%?
63.4%·36.6%
?
STL wins ↑BUF wins ↓
BUF 83%Deserved to win?17% STL
the game's chances, replayed · 3.25 xG vs 1.45 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
BUF 4@STL 2
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-29 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickJimmy SnuggerudSTL · 1G · 0.17 ixG · 1 blk69
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickBrayden SchennSTL · 1G · 0.11 ixG · 2 blk69
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickMattias SamuelssonBUF · 1A · 0.06 ixG · 2 blk69BUF
1Mattias Samuelsson692
Beck Malenstyn693
Jack Quinn684
Zach Benson685
Josh Norris686
Ryan McLeod687
Peyton Krebs678
Alex Tuch669
Josh Doan6510
Noah Ostlund6411
Josh Dunne5912
Tage Thompson5813
Owen Power5714
Rasmus Dahlin5615
Bowen Byram5316
Michael Kesselring5117
Jordan Greenway5118
Zach Metsa51
Mattias Samuelsson692Beck Malenstyn693Jack Quinn684Zach Benson685Josh Norris686Ryan McLeod687Peyton Krebs678Alex Tuch669Josh Doan6510Noah Ostlund6411Josh Dunne5912Tage Thompson5813Owen Power5714Rasmus Dahlin5615Bowen Byram5316Michael Kesselring5117Jordan Greenway5118Zach Metsa51Goalies
STL
1Jimmy Snuggerud692Brayden Schenn693
Robby Fabbri674
Colton Parayko595
Jordan Kyrou586
Alexey Toropchenko567
Otto Stenberg558
Justin Faulk559
Jake Neighbours5410
Robert Thomas5411
Mathieu Joseph5112
Tyler Tucker4813
Dalibor Dvorsky4714
Logan Mailloux4715
Cam Fowler4716
Oskar Sundqvist4617
Pavel Buchnevich4518
Philip Broberg44
Jimmy Snuggerud692Brayden Schenn693Robby Fabbri674Colton Parayko595Jordan Kyrou586Alexey Toropchenko567Otto Stenberg558Justin Faulk559Jake Neighbours5410Robert Thomas5411Mathieu Joseph5112Tyler Tucker4813Dalibor Dvorsky4714Logan Mailloux4715Cam Fowler4716Oskar Sundqvist4617Pavel Buchnevich4518Philip Broberg44Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 1 (8) | 1 (14) | 2 (12) | 4 |
| STL | 2 (9) | 0 (7) | 0 (2) | 2 |
| BUF | STL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/3 | Power play | 0/1 |
| 18 | Hits | 27 |
| 18 | Blocked shots | 12 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 3 |
| 12 | Giveaways | 17 |
| 30 | Faceoff wins | 24 |
| BUF | STL | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 2 |
| 4.96 | Expected goals | 2.19 |
| 3.46 | 5v5 xG | 1.79 |
| 0.94 | Power-play xG | 0.09 |
| 70 | Shot attempts | 39 |
| 34 | On goal | 18 |
| 15 | High-danger | 8 |
| 2 | Rebound chances | 2 |
| 18 | Missed | 9 |
| 18 | Blocked | 12 |
| 0.071 | xG per attempt | 0.056 |
| 34 ft | Avg shot distance | 33 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG79 of 109 attempts shown