Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Washington Capitals 3@Florida Panthers 5
2025-12-29WSH · FLA
CF%?
41.2%·58.8%
xGF%?
38.4%·61.6%
HDCF%?
43.5%·56.5%
5v5 xGF%?
33.3%·66.7%
5v5 CF%?
32.3%·67.7%
?
FLA wins ↑WSH wins ↓
WSH 46%Deserved to win?54% FLA
the game's chances, replayed · 3.34 xG vs 3.58 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
WSH 3@FLA 5
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-29 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickTom WilsonWSH · 2G · 1A · 0.97 ixG98
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickDylan StromeWSH · 1G · 2A · 0.38 ixG94
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickSam ReinhartFLA · 2G · 1A · 1.01 ixG93WSH
1Tom Wilson982Dylan Strome943
Martin Fehérváry714
Aliaksei Protas625
Jakob Chychrun596
Justin Sourdif577
Nic Dowd548
Matt Roy539
Alex Ovechkin5110
Hendrix Lapierre5111
Brandon Duhaime5012
Anthony Beauvillier4913
Connor McMichael4914
Ethen Frank4715
John Carlson4716
Ryan Leonard4617
Rasmus Sandin46
Tom Wilson982Dylan Strome943Martin Fehérváry714Aliaksei Protas625Jakob Chychrun596Justin Sourdif577Nic Dowd548Matt Roy539Alex Ovechkin5110Hendrix Lapierre5111Brandon Duhaime5012Anthony Beauvillier4913Connor McMichael4914Ethen Frank4715John Carlson4716Ryan Leonard4617Rasmus Sandin46Goalies
FLA
1Sam Reinhart932
Brad Marchand803
Aaron Ekblad784
Seth Jones725
Anton Lundell726
Sam Bennett707
Evan Rodrigues648
Jeff Petry639
Uvis Balinskis6110
Mackie Samoskevich5911
Jesper Boqvist5512
Carter Verhaeghe5513
Eetu Luostarinen5514
Trevor van Riemsdyk5415
Luke Kunin5316
A.J. Greer5317
Niko Mikkola5118
Jack Studnicka4719
Gustav Forsling44
Sam Reinhart932Brad Marchand803Aaron Ekblad784Seth Jones725Anton Lundell726Sam Bennett707Evan Rodrigues648Jeff Petry639Uvis Balinskis6110Mackie Samoskevich5911Jesper Boqvist5512Carter Verhaeghe5513Eetu Luostarinen5514Trevor van Riemsdyk5415Luke Kunin5316A.J. Greer5317Niko Mikkola5118Jack Studnicka4719Gustav Forsling44Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 2 (10) | 0 (12) | 1 (5) | 3 |
| FLA | 2 (10) | 0 (8) | 3 (11) | 5 |
| WSH | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 2/5 | Power play | 1/6 |
| 19 | Hits | 16 |
| 6 | Blocked shots | 22 |
| 6 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 15 | Giveaways | 17 |
| 31 | Faceoff wins | 27 |
| WSH | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 5 |
| 3.87 | Expected goals | 6.22 |
| 1.39 | 5v5 xG | 2.79 |
| 1.83 | Power-play xG | 2.67 |
| 49 | Shot attempts | 70 |
| 27 | On goal | 29 |
| 20 | High-danger | 26 |
| 1 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 16 | Missed | 19 |
| 6 | Blocked | 22 |
| 0.079 | xG per attempt | 0.089 |
| 31 ft | Avg shot distance | 28 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG91 of 119 attempts shown