Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Montréal Canadiens 4@Tampa Bay Lightning 5
2025-12-28MTL · TBL
CF%?
64.7%·35.3%
xGF%?
55.5%·44.5%
HDCF%?
50.0%·50.0%
5v5 xGF%?
59.0%·41.0%
5v5 CF%?
63.5%·36.5%
?
TBL wins ↑MTL wins ↓
MTL 71%Deserved to win?29% TBL
the game's chances, replayed · 4.59 xG vs 3.21 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
MTL 4@TBL 5
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-28 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickJuraj SlafkovskýMTL · 2G · 1A · 0.70 ixG96
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickNoah DobsonMTL · 1G · 1A · 0.17 ixG94
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickIvan DemidovMTL · 1G · 1A · 0.64 ixG84MTL
1Juraj Slafkovský962Noah Dobson943Ivan Demidov844
Oliver Kapanen765
Lane Hutson676
Mike Matheson647
Cole Caufield648
Phillip Danault649
Josh Anderson6310
Zachary Bolduc6111
Brendan Gallagher6012
Alexandre Carrier5913
Darren Raddysh5314
Joe Veleno5215
Sammy Blais5216
Nick Suzuki4917
Alexandre Texier4818
Arber Xhekaj4719
Jayden Struble43
Juraj Slafkovský962Noah Dobson943Ivan Demidov844Oliver Kapanen765Lane Hutson676Mike Matheson647Cole Caufield648Phillip Danault649Josh Anderson6310Zachary Bolduc6111Brendan Gallagher6012Alexandre Carrier5913Darren Raddysh5314Joe Veleno5215Sammy Blais5216Nick Suzuki4917Alexandre Texier4818Arber Xhekaj4719Jayden Struble43Goalies
TBL
1
Nikita Kucherov772
Gage Goncalves743
Pontus Holmberg674
Anthony Cirelli675
Oliver Bjorkstrand676
Nick Paul597
Yanni Gourde588
Zemgus Girgensons579
Brayden Point5610
Maxim Groshev5611
Brandon Hagel5412
J.J. Moser5113
Scott Sabourin5014
Declan Carlile4915
Charle-Edouard D'Astous4916
Max Crozier4817
Jake Guentzel47
Nikita Kucherov772Gage Goncalves743Pontus Holmberg674Anthony Cirelli675Oliver Bjorkstrand676Nick Paul597Yanni Gourde588Zemgus Girgensons579Brayden Point5610Maxim Groshev5611Brandon Hagel5412J.J. Moser5113Scott Sabourin5014Declan Carlile4915Charle-Edouard D'Astous4916Max Crozier4817Jake Guentzel47Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 2
Period 3
2OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 0 (11) | 0 (6) | 4 (16) | 0 (2) | 4 |
| TBL | 0 (3) | 3 (12) | 1 (5) | 0 (1) | 5 |
| MTL | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/5 | Power play | 0/2 |
| 26 | Hits | 17 |
| 26 | Blocked shots | 13 |
| 8 | Takeaways | 3 |
| 13 | Giveaways | 18 |
| 37 | Faceoff wins | 22 |
| MTL | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 4 |
| 7.05 | Expected goals | 5.65 |
| 5.09 | 5v5 xG | 3.54 |
| 1.60 | Power-play xG | 0.33 |
| 86 | Shot attempts | 47 |
| 35 | On goal | 21 |
| 22 | High-danger | 22 |
| 5 | Rebound chances | 2 |
| 25 | Missed | 13 |
| 26 | Blocked | 13 |
| 0.082 | xG per attempt | 0.120 |
| 30 ft | Avg shot distance | 27 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG94 of 133 attempts shown