Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Pittsburgh Penguins 3@Toronto Maple Leafs 6
2025-12-23PIT · TOR
CF%?
50.9%·49.1%
xGF%?
41.8%·58.2%
HDCF%?
45.7%·54.3%
5v5 xGF%?
50.6%·49.4%
5v5 CF%?
53.1%·46.9%
?
TOR wins ↑PIT wins ↓
PIT 37%Deserved to win?63% TOR
the game's chances, replayed · 2.49 xG vs 3.21 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
PIT 3@TOR 6
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-23 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickWilliam NylanderTOR · 2G · 2A · 1.14 ixG99
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickMax DomiTOR · 1G · 1A · 0.48 ixG80
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickBobby McMannTOR · 1G · 1.05 ixG · 1 tk78PIT
1
Justin Brazeau712
Rutger McGroarty683
Parker Wotherspoon684
Anthony Mantha675
Bryan Rust616
Sidney Crosby617
Ryan Shea588
Erik Karlsson589
Kris Letang5710
Ben Kindel5611
Noel Acciari5412
Rickard Rakell5413
Tommy Novak5314
Connor Dewar5315
Kevin Hayes5316
Jack St. Ivany5217
Ville Koivunen4718
Brett Kulak44
Justin Brazeau712Rutger McGroarty683Parker Wotherspoon684Anthony Mantha675Bryan Rust616Sidney Crosby617Ryan Shea588Erik Karlsson589Kris Letang5710Ben Kindel5611Noel Acciari5412Rickard Rakell5413Tommy Novak5314Connor Dewar5315Kevin Hayes5316Jack St. Ivany5217Ville Koivunen4718Brett Kulak44Goalies
TOR
1William Nylander992Max Domi803Bobby McMann784
John Tavares755
Steven Lorentz746
Auston Matthews577
Matias Maccelli568
Matthew Knies569
Philippe Myers5510
Jake McCabe5511
Oliver Ekman-Larsson5512
Dakota Joshua5313
Nicolas Roy5214
Chris Tanev5115
Scott Laughton5116
Nicholas Robertson5017
Morgan Rielly5018
Troy Stecher48
William Nylander992Max Domi803Bobby McMann784John Tavares755Steven Lorentz746Auston Matthews577Matias Maccelli568Matthew Knies569Philippe Myers5510Jake McCabe5511Oliver Ekman-Larsson5512Dakota Joshua5313Nicolas Roy5214Chris Tanev5115Scott Laughton5116Nicholas Robertson5017Morgan Rielly5018Troy Stecher48Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 1 (12) | 1 (9) | 1 (11) | 3 |
| TOR | 2 (7) | 1 (12) | 3 (12) | 6 |
| PIT | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/3 | Power play | 0/3 |
| 16 | Hits | 19 |
| 17 | Blocked shots | 9 |
| 7 | Takeaways | 6 |
| 14 | Giveaways | 19 |
| 24 | Faceoff wins | 34 |
| PIT | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 6 |
| 4.15 | Expected goals | 5.79 |
| 3.56 | 5v5 xG | 3.47 |
| 0.44 | Power-play xG | 0.39 |
| 57 | Shot attempts | 55 |
| 32 | On goal | 31 |
| 16 | High-danger | 19 |
| 3 | Rebound chances | 4 |
| 8 | Missed | 15 |
| 17 | Blocked | 9 |
| 0.073 | xG per attempt | 0.105 |
| 31 ft | Avg shot distance | 31 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG86 of 112 attempts shown