Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
St. Louis Blues 1@Tampa Bay Lightning 4
2025-12-22STL · TBL
CF%?
51.5%·48.5%
xGF%?
47.1%·52.9%
HDCF%?
45.2%·54.8%
5v5 xGF%?
51.5%·48.5%
5v5 CF%?
54.3%·45.7%
?
TBL wins ↑STL wins ↓
STL 47%Deserved to win?53% TBL
the game's chances, replayed · 2.38 xG vs 2.51 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
STL 1@TBL 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-22 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickDarren RaddyshTBL · 1G · 2A · 0.18 ixG89
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickAndrei VasilevskiyTBL · 23 sv · 1 GA · GSAx +1.8179
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickJake GuentzelTBL · 2A · 0.41 ixG · 2 gv72STL
1
Justin Faulk652
Otto Stenberg653
Pius Suter584
Brayden Schenn575
Tyler Tucker576
Alexey Toropchenko567
Oskar Sundqvist558
Robert Thomas559
Pavel Buchnevich5410
Jake Neighbours5411
Philip Broberg5412
Ryan McDonagh5413
Robby Fabbri5414
Mathieu Joseph5315
Dalibor Dvorsky5216
Jonatan Berggren4917
Logan Mailloux4918
Cam Fowler49
Justin Faulk652Otto Stenberg653Pius Suter584Brayden Schenn575Tyler Tucker576Alexey Toropchenko567Oskar Sundqvist558Robert Thomas559Pavel Buchnevich5410Jake Neighbours5411Philip Broberg5412Ryan McDonagh5413Robby Fabbri5414Mathieu Joseph5315Dalibor Dvorsky5216Jonatan Berggren4917Logan Mailloux4918Cam Fowler49Goalies
TBL
1Darren Raddysh892Jake Guentzel723
Anthony Cirelli714
Pontus Holmberg665
Oliver Bjorkstrand666
Nikita Kucherov667
Declan Carlile638
Zemgus Girgensons599
Gage Goncalves5810
Colton Parayko5611
Nick Paul5612
J.J. Moser5413
Dominic James5314
Brayden Point5315
Max Crozier5216
Yanni Gourde5117
Charle-Edouard D'Astous4918
Jack Finley44
Darren Raddysh892Jake Guentzel723Anthony Cirelli714Pontus Holmberg665Oliver Bjorkstrand666Nikita Kucherov667Declan Carlile638Zemgus Girgensons599Gage Goncalves5810Colton Parayko5611Nick Paul5612J.J. Moser5413Dominic James5314Brayden Point5315Max Crozier5216Yanni Gourde5117Charle-Edouard D'Astous4918Jack Finley44Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 0 (5) | 1 (11) | 0 (8) | 1 |
| TBL | 2 (6) | 1 (7) | 1 (4) | 4 |
| STL | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/2 | Power play | 2/4 |
| 27 | Hits | 10 |
| 16 | Blocked shots | 17 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 6 |
| 14 | Giveaways | 11 |
| 28 | Faceoff wins | 27 |
| STL | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 4 |
| 3.72 | Expected goals | 4.18 |
| 3.02 | 5v5 xG | 2.85 |
| 0.56 | Power-play xG | 1.17 |
| 51 | Shot attempts | 48 |
| 24 | On goal | 17 |
| 14 | High-danger | 17 |
| 4 | Rebound chances | 2 |
| 11 | Missed | 14 |
| 16 | Blocked | 17 |
| 0.073 | xG per attempt | 0.087 |
| 31 ft | Avg shot distance | 28 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG66 of 99 attempts shown