Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Buffalo Sabres 3@New Jersey Devils 1
2025-12-21BUF · NJD
CF%?
40.3%·59.7%
xGF%?
41.0%·59.0%
HDCF%?
30.6%·69.4%
5v5 xGF%?
38.4%·61.6%
5v5 CF%?
44.1%·55.9%
?
NJD wins ↑BUF wins ↓
BUF 17%Deserved to win?83% NJD
the game's chances, replayed · 1.38 xG vs 3.16 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
BUF 3@NJD 1
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-21 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickUkko-Pekka LuukkonenBUF · 26 sv · 1 GA · GSAx +1.8681
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickTimo MeierNJD · 0.97 ixG · 2 blk · 1 gv74
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickNico HischierNJD · 0.39 ixG · 1 blk · 2 gv68BUF
1
Ryan McLeod652
Josh Norris653
Tage Thompson604
Noah Ostlund605
Peyton Krebs596
Rasmus Dahlin597
Zach Benson588
Alex Tuch589
Bowen Byram5710
Owen Power5711
Michael Kesselring5612
Jack Quinn5313
Zach Metsa5114
Beck Malenstyn4915
Isak Rosen4916
Tanner Laczynski4717
Mattias Samuelsson4718
Cole Schwindt4719
Josh Doan4720
Carl Grundstrom4721
Nico Sturm4622
Josh Dunne4623
Luke Kunin4524
#84810424525
Ty Dellandrea4526
Tanner Pearson4427
Alexander Holtz4428
Fabian Zetterlund4429
Tomas Hertl4330
Victor Olofsson4331
Will Smith4332
Pavel Dorofeyev4333
Macklin Celebrini4334
Mario Ferraro4335
Brett Howden4236
Zach Whitecloud4237
Nicolas Hague4238
Mark Stone4239
Shea Theodore4240
Keegan Kolesar4141
Barclay Goodrow4142
Timothy Liljegren4143
Henry Thrun4144
Jack Eichel4145
Alexander Wennberg4146
Shakir Mukhamadullin4147
#84801724048
Brayden McNabb4049
Cody Ceci4050
Noah Hanifin4051
Tyler Toffoli4052
William Karlsson4053
#84745654054
Mikael Granlund40
Ryan McLeod652Josh Norris653Tage Thompson604Noah Ostlund605Peyton Krebs596Rasmus Dahlin597Zach Benson588Alex Tuch589Bowen Byram5710Owen Power5711Michael Kesselring5612Jack Quinn5313Zach Metsa5114Beck Malenstyn4915Isak Rosen4916Tanner Laczynski4717Mattias Samuelsson4718Cole Schwindt4719Josh Doan4720Carl Grundstrom4721Nico Sturm4622Josh Dunne4623Luke Kunin4524#84810424525Ty Dellandrea4526Tanner Pearson4427Alexander Holtz4428Fabian Zetterlund4429Tomas Hertl4330Victor Olofsson4331Will Smith4332Pavel Dorofeyev4333Macklin Celebrini4334Mario Ferraro4335Brett Howden4236Zach Whitecloud4237Nicolas Hague4238Mark Stone4239Shea Theodore4240Keegan Kolesar4141Barclay Goodrow4142Timothy Liljegren4143Henry Thrun4144Jack Eichel4145Alexander Wennberg4146Shakir Mukhamadullin4147#84801724048Brayden McNabb4049Cody Ceci4050Noah Hanifin4051Tyler Toffoli4052William Karlsson4053#84745654054Mikael Granlund40Goalies
NJD
1Timo Meier742Nico Hischier683
Dawson Mercer674
Jesper Bratt655
Luke Hughes636
Jack Hughes617
Connor Brown598
Cody Glass589
Brett Pesce5810
Jonas Siegenthaler5611
Brenden Dillon5512
Colton White5413
Paul Cotter5214
Ondrej Palat5215
Dougie Hamilton5116
Arseny Gritsyuk5117
Stefan Noesen5018
Luke Glendening48
Timo Meier742Nico Hischier683Dawson Mercer674Jesper Bratt655Luke Hughes636Jack Hughes617Connor Brown598Cody Glass589Brett Pesce5810Jonas Siegenthaler5611Brenden Dillon5512Colton White5413Paul Cotter5214Ondrej Palat5215Dougie Hamilton5116Arseny Gritsyuk5117Stefan Noesen5018Luke Glendening48Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 0 (9) | 2 (12) | 1 (4) | 3 |
| NJD | 1 (12) | 0 (6) | 0 (9) | 1 |
| BUF | NJD | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/0 | Power play | 0/1 |
| 20 | Hits | 16 |
| 13 | Blocked shots | 24 |
| 7 | Takeaways | 2 |
| 16 | Giveaways | 18 |
| 21 | Faceoff wins | 30 |
| BUF | NJD | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 1 |
| 4.06 | Expected goals | 5.84 |
| 2.71 | 5v5 xG | 4.35 |
| 0.00 | Power-play xG | 1.49 |
| 48 | Shot attempts | 71 |
| 25 | On goal | 27 |
| 11 | High-danger | 25 |
| 3 | Rebound chances | 4 |
| 10 | Missed | 20 |
| 13 | Blocked | 24 |
| 0.085 | xG per attempt | 0.082 |
| 35 ft | Avg shot distance | 30 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG82 of 119 attempts shown