Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Carolina Hurricanes 4@Tampa Bay Lightning 6
2025-12-20CAR · TBL
CF%?
45.0%·55.0%
xGF%?
39.6%·60.4%
HDCF%?
51.9%·48.1%
5v5 xGF%?
36.2%·63.8%
5v5 CF%?
40.4%·59.6%
?
TBL wins ↑CAR wins ↓
CAR 21%Deserved to win?79% TBL
the game's chances, replayed · 1.85 xG vs 3.44 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
CAR 4@TBL 6
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-20 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickJake GuentzelTBL · 2G · 0.97 ixG · 1 blk82
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickRyan McDonaghTBL · 1G · 1A · 0.18 ixG79
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickJ.J. MoserTBL · 1A · 0.11 ixG · 3 blk73CAR
1
Bradly Nadeau702
Mark Jankowski683
Jordan Staal684
Eric Robinson645
Logan Stankoven636
Nikolaj Ehlers617
Shayne Gostisbehere608
Jackson Blake599
Andrei Svechnikov5810
Jesperi Kotkaniemi5711
Mike Reilly5512
William Carrier5413
Alexander Nikishin5414
K'Andre Miller5315
Taylor Hall5116
Sean Walker5017
Jalen Chatfield4518
Sebastian Aho42
Bradly Nadeau702Mark Jankowski683Jordan Staal684Eric Robinson645Logan Stankoven636Nikolaj Ehlers617Shayne Gostisbehere608Jackson Blake599Andrei Svechnikov5810Jesperi Kotkaniemi5711Mike Reilly5512William Carrier5413Alexander Nikishin5414K'Andre Miller5315Taylor Hall5116Sean Walker5017Jalen Chatfield4518Sebastian Aho42Goalies
TBL
1Jake Guentzel822Ryan McDonagh793J.J. Moser734
Dominic James735
Brayden Point736
Charle-Edouard D'Astous717
Yanni Gourde708
Nick Paul679
Pontus Holmberg6710
Nikita Kucherov6411
Jack Finley6412
Anthony Cirelli6313
Gage Goncalves5814
Max Crozier5715
Zemgus Girgensons5616
Declan Carlile5317
Oliver Bjorkstrand5218
Darren Raddysh49
Jake Guentzel822Ryan McDonagh793J.J. Moser734Dominic James735Brayden Point736Charle-Edouard D'Astous717Yanni Gourde708Nick Paul679Pontus Holmberg6710Nikita Kucherov6411Jack Finley6412Anthony Cirelli6313Gage Goncalves5814Max Crozier5715Zemgus Girgensons5616Declan Carlile5317Oliver Bjorkstrand5218Darren Raddysh49Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | 3 (10) | 0 (6) | 1 (6) | 4 |
| TBL | 0 (6) | 3 (14) | 3 (9) | 6 |
| CAR | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2/6 | Power play | 0/5 |
| 23 | Hits | 19 |
| 15 | Blocked shots | 16 |
| 6 | Takeaways | 1 |
| 13 | Giveaways | 14 |
| 22 | Faceoff wins | 30 |
| CAR | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 6 |
| 3.53 | Expected goals | 5.38 |
| 2.24 | 5v5 xG | 3.94 |
| 1.26 | Power-play xG | 0.44 |
| 50 | Shot attempts | 61 |
| 22 | On goal | 29 |
| 14 | High-danger | 13 |
| 1 | Rebound chances | 9 |
| 13 | Missed | 16 |
| 15 | Blocked | 16 |
| 0.071 | xG per attempt | 0.088 |
| 34 ft | Avg shot distance | 30 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG80 of 111 attempts shown