Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
New York Islanders 2@Buffalo Sabres 3
2025-12-20NYI · BUF
CF%?
54.1%·45.9%
xGF%?
43.4%·56.6%
HDCF%?
48.8%·51.2%
5v5 xGF%?
53.1%·46.9%
5v5 CF%?
57.0%·43.0%
?
BUF wins ↑NYI wins ↓
NYI 43%Deserved to win?57% BUF
the game's chances, replayed · 3.41 xG vs 3.83 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
NYI 2@BUF 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-20 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickAlex LyonBUF · 1A · 1 gv · 32 sv85
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickDavid RittichNYI · 1 gv · 30 sv · 2 GA84
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickMathew BarzalNYI · 1G · 1A · 0.57 ixG83NYI
1Mathew Barzal832
Emil Heineman753
Simon Holmstrom684
Matthew Schaefer645
Anders Lee636
Jean-Gabriel Pageau567
Scott Mayfield558
Mattias Samuelsson559
Casey Cizikas5410
Marc Gatcomb5311
Maxim Tsyplakov5212
Calum Ritchie5213
Kyle MacLean5114
Tony DeAngelo4915
Adam Pelech4816
Jonathan Drouin4817
Anthony Duclair4718
Ryan Pulock4719
Marshall Warren46
Mathew Barzal832Emil Heineman753Simon Holmstrom684Matthew Schaefer645Anders Lee636Jean-Gabriel Pageau567Scott Mayfield558Mattias Samuelsson559Casey Cizikas5410Marc Gatcomb5311Maxim Tsyplakov5212Calum Ritchie5213Kyle MacLean5114Tony DeAngelo4915Adam Pelech4816Jonathan Drouin4817Anthony Duclair4718Ryan Pulock4719Marshall Warren46Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
2OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYI | 0 (7) | 1 (15) | 1 (7) | 0 (5) | 2 |
| BUF | 1 (12) | 1 (10) | 0 (7) | 0 (3) | 3 |
| NYI | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/3 | Power play | 1/4 |
| 25 | Hits | 18 |
| 13 | Blocked shots | 9 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 5 |
| 21 | Giveaways | 18 |
| 33 | Faceoff wins | 27 |
| NYI | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals | 2 |
| 4.53 | Expected goals | 5.89 |
| 3.21 | 5v5 xG | 2.84 |
| 0.35 | Power-play xG | 1.51 |
| 66 | Shot attempts | 56 |
| 34 | On goal | 32 |
| 20 | High-danger | 21 |
| 3 | Rebound chances | 1 |
| 19 | Missed | 15 |
| 13 | Blocked | 9 |
| 0.069 | xG per attempt | 0.105 |
| 33 ft | Avg shot distance | 29 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG100 of 122 attempts shown